METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley
Atlanta, USA
30 Jul 2016
Lightweight
VS
11%
Arzamendia
89%
Brown
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:27
★ Official Result
Damien BrownwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:27
def. Cesar Arzamendia · UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Brown
→
Actual result
Brown wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Brown is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Brown has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 43 points.
Risk flags
Arzamendia's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ArzamendiaBrown
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Arzamendia
Brown
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
Reach
68"
35+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Arzamendia
Brown
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
1.6
13.3
0.0
Performance Avg
38.8
0
Quality of Victory
43
0
Momentum Score
15
Arzamendia
Brown
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
5.7
/ 10
0.0
Style: Pressure
4.5
0.0
Style: Volume
4.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
20
5
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
14Distance8
3Clinch2
0Ground12
Arzamendia
Brown
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Arzamendia
Brown
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
72
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/11 fights
Chin rating based on
6/29 fights
Arzamendia
Brown
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
15
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Arzamendia
Brown
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Arzamendia
Brown
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
ArzamendiaBrown
Strike Zones
Arzamendia
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedBrown
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Arzamendia targets the head (65% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Brown targets the head (91% of attacks) — Arzamendia absorbs 91% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Arzamendia
RND
Brown
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Arzamendia · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Damien BrownKO/TKO
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07
L · KO · R1
Marco Polo ReyesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11
Brown · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Dong Hyun MaDecision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
L · Dec · R3
Frank CamachoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · KO · R1
Vinc PichelKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
W · Dec · R3
Jon TuckDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
W · KO · R1
Cesar ArzamendiaKO/TKO
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07