METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley
Atlanta, USA
30 Jul 2016
Lightweight
VS
11%
Arzamendia
89%
Brown
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:27
★ Official Result
Damien BrownwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:27
def. Cesar Arzamendia · UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Brown
→
Actual result
Brown wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Brown is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Brown has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 43 points.
Arzamendia has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Arzamendia's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ArzamendiaBrown
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Arzamendia
Brown
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
Reach
68"
35+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Arzamendia
Brown
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
1.6
13.3
0.0
Performance Avg
38.8
0
Quality of Victory
43
0
Momentum Score
15
Arzamendia
Brown
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.6
2.1
45%
Strike Accuracy
38%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
20
5
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
14Distance8
3Clinch2
0Ground12
Arzamendia
Brown
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Arzamendia
Brown
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
72
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/11 fights
Chin rating based on
6/29 fights
Arzamendia
Brown
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
15
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Arzamendia
Brown
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Arzamendia
Brown
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
ArzamendiaBrown
Strike Zones
Arzamendia
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedBrown
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Arzamendia targets the head (65% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Brown targets the head (91% of attacks) — Arzamendia absorbs 91% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Arzamendia
RND
Brown
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Arzamendia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 1.5WinLossTrend
Brown · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Arzamendia · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Damien BrownRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07
L · KO · R1
Marco Polo ReyesRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11
Brown · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Dong Hyun MaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
L · Dec · R3
Frank CamachoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · KO · R1
Vinc PichelRating 1.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
W · Dec · R3
Jon TuckRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
W · KO · R1
Cesar ArzamendiaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07