UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva
Las Vegas, USA
31 Oct 2020
Middleweight
VS
80%
Strickland
20%
Marshman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Strickland
Strickland is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 44 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Strickland has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Strickland's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Marshman has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Strickland
Marshman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
76"+
Reach
73"
35+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Strickland
Marshman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.7
14.2
50.9
Performance Avg
36.0
37
Quality of Victory
35
100
Momentum Score
54
Strickland
Marshman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.1
45%
Strike Accuracy
25%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
37
Head
8
3
Body
8
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
40Distance18
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Strickland
Marshman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.0
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.6
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strickland
Marshman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
50
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/38 fights
Chin rating based on
8/33 fights
Strickland
Marshman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
54
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Strickland
Marshman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
33%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Strickland
Marshman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
StricklandMarshman
Strike Zones
Strickland
Attacking
40 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedMarshman
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
40 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Strickland targets the head (93% of attacks) — Marshman absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Marshman targets the head (44% of attacks) — Strickland absorbs 44% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Strickland
RND
Marshman
0/0R00/0
Strickland · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Marshman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Strickland · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Khamzat ChimaevRating 6.4Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R3
Anthony HernandezRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisRating 7.4Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R5
Paulo CostaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisRating 7.4Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
Marshman · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sean StricklandRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10
L · Sub · R1
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 2.9Submission
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
W · Dec · R3
John PhillipsRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03
L · Dec · R3
Karl RobersonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
L · Sub · R1
Antonio Carlos JuniorRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10