UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson
New Orleans, USA
6 Jun 2015
Heavyweight
VS
55%
Rothwell
45%
Mitrione
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:54
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Rothwell
This is a genuine toss-up — Rothwell at 55% vs Mitrione at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Mitrione has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Rothwell's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Mitrione has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Rothwell
Mitrione
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'3"
78"
Reach
+82"
44+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Rothwell
Mitrione
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.0
21.9
49.7
Performance Avg
58.4
48
Quality of Victory
54
45
Momentum Score
82
Rothwell
Mitrione
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
2.1
46%
Strike Accuracy
55%
5.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
8 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
6
0
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance8
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Rothwell
Mitrione
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.2
/ 10
0.3
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.2
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rothwell
Mitrione
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
30
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/53 fights
Chin rating based on
14/17 fights
Rothwell
Mitrione
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
82
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Rothwell
Mitrione
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
89%
4
KO / TKO Wins
8
3
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rothwell
Mitrione
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.3
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.2
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.2
RothwellMitrione
Strike Zones
Rothwell
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedMitrione
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rothwell targets the head (80% of attacks) — Mitrione absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Mitrione targets the head (75% of attacks) — Rothwell absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rothwell
RND
Mitrione
0/0R00/0
Rothwell · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Mitrione · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Rothwell · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1KO/TKO
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W · Sub · R2
Chris BarnettRating 6.3Submission
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L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Ovince Saint PreuxRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · 2020-05
W · KO · R2
Stefan StruveRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
Mitrione · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Travis BrowneRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01
L · Sub · R1
Ben RothwellRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
W · KO · R1
Gabriel GonzagaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic · 2014-12
W · KO · R1
Derrick LewisRating 6.2KO/TKO
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W · KO · R1
Shawn JordanRating 5KO/TKO
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