UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado
Sao Paulo, Brazil
31 May 2014
Heavyweight
VS
76%
Miocic
24%
Maldonado
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:35
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Miocic
Miocic is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 39 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Miocic has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Maldonado has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Miocic's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Maldonado has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Miocic
Maldonado
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'1"
80"+
Reach
75"
43+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Miocic
Maldonado
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.3
17.5
64.9
Performance Avg
39.8
59
Quality of Victory
36
78
Momentum Score
81
Miocic
Maldonado
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
2.4
53%
Strike Accuracy
63%
7.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.9
9 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
2
0
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance2
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Miocic
Maldonado
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.9
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Miocic
Maldonado
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
68
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/25 fights
Chin rating based on
11/34 fights
Miocic
Maldonado
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
81
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R4
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Miocic
Maldonado
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
40%
9
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miocic
Maldonado
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
0.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
MiocicMaldonado
Strike Zones
Miocic
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedMaldonado
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miocic targets the head (75% of attacks) — Maldonado absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Maldonado targets the head (100% of attacks) — Miocic absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miocic
RND
Maldonado
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Miocic · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Maldonado · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Miocic · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Jon JonesRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · KO · R2
Francis NgannouRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
W · Dec · R5
Daniel CormierRating 4.5Decision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
W · KO · R4
Daniel CormierRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
L · KO · R1
Daniel CormierRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07
Maldonado · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Corey AndersonRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
L · Dec · R3
Quinton JacksonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
W · KO · R2
Hans StringerRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
L · KO · R1
Stipe MiocicRating 2.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
Gian VillanteRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03