METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado
Sao Paulo, Brazil
31 May 2014
Heavyweight
VS
76%
Miocic
24%
Maldonado
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:35
Stipe
Stipe Miocic
205
6'4"80" reachOrthodox43 yrs2-fight slideStriker
CFR 56
FM
Fabio Maldonado
"Caipira de Aco"
2311
Well-Rounded2-fight slide46 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'1"
CFR 18
★ Official Result
Stipe MiocicwinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:35
def. Fabio Maldonado · UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Miocic
Actual result
Miocic wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Miocic is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 39 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Miocic has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.

Maldonado has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Miocic's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Maldonado has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MiocicMaldonado
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Miocic
Maldonado
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'1"
80"+
Reach
75"
43+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Miocic
Maldonado
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.3
17.5
64.9
Performance Avg
39.8
59
Quality of Victory
36
78
Momentum Score
81
Miocic
Maldonado
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
2.4
53%
Strike Accuracy
63%
7.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.9
9 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
2
0
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance2
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Miocic
Maldonado
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Miocic
Maldonado
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
68
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
19/25 fights
Chin rating based on
11/34 fights
Miocic
Maldonado
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
81
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R4
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Miocic
Maldonado
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
40%
9
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Miocic
Maldonado
Striking7.9 / 4.9Volume4.3 / 5.7Grappling0.9 / 1.4Wrestling0.6 / 1.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure6.7 / 4.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
0.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
Miocic
Strike Zones
Maldonado
Miocic
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY2LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Maldonado
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY2LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Miocic targets the head (75% of attacks) — Maldonado absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Maldonado targets the head (100% of attacks) — Miocic absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Miocic
RND
Maldonado
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Miocic · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W5.0W5.2W2.1L4.5W4.5W5.0W5.5L5.5W5.7W5.0W5.0W5.0W4.9W1.5L5.4W4.5W2.5L4.5L2011-102014-012016-052019-082024-11
WinLossTrend

Maldonado · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W5.5L5.5L5.1L4.5W4.5W4.5W2.6L5.2W5.5L5.5L2010-102012-102014-032015-042015-11
WinLossTrend

Miocic · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Jon JonesRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · KO · R2
Francis NgannouRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
W · Dec · R5
Daniel CormierRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
W · KO · R4
Daniel CormierRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
L · KO · R1
Daniel CormierRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07

Maldonado · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Corey AndersonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
L · Dec · R3
Quinton JacksonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
W · KO · R2
Hans StringerRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
L · KO · R1
Stipe MiocicRating 2.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
Gian VillanteRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03

News & Media

Stipe Miocic · Fabio Maldonado
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