UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens
Tampa, USA
7 Feb 2009
Lightweight
VS
50%
Pellegrino
50%
Emerson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:14
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pellegrino
This is a genuine toss-up — Pellegrino at 50% vs Emerson at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Pellegrino has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Pellegrino
Emerson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
70"
Reach
70"
47
Age
+44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pellegrino
Emerson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.2
18.1
50.1
Performance Avg
42.0
45
Quality of Victory
37
48
Momentum Score
79
Pellegrino
Emerson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
0.6
42%
Strike Accuracy
29%
2.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
3
1
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance5
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Pellegrino
Emerson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pellegrino
Emerson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
84
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/23 fights
Chin rating based on
7/30 fights
Pellegrino
Emerson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
79
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Pellegrino
Emerson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pellegrino
Emerson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
5.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
PellegrinoEmerson
Strike Zones
Pellegrino
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedEmerson
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pellegrino targets the head (83% of attacks) — Emerson absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Emerson targets the head (60% of attacks) — Pellegrino absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pellegrino
RND
Emerson
0/0R00/0
Pellegrino · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Emerson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Pellegrino · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gleison TibauRating 5.5Decision
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · 2011-03
L · Dec · R3
George SotiropoulosRating 5.5Decision
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · Sub · R2
Fabricio CamoesRating 5.2Submission
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy · 2010-03
W · Dec · R3
Josh NeerRating 4.5Decision
UFC 101: Declaration · 2009-08
W · Sub · R2
Rob EmersonRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens · 2009-02
Emerson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Nik LentzRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi · 2010-03
W · Dec · R3
Phillipe NoverRating 4.5Decision
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
L · Dec · R3
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 5.7Decision
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09
L · Sub · R2
Kurt PellegrinoRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens · 2009-02
W · KO · R1
Manvel GamburyanRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 87: Seek And Destroy · 2008-08