UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz
Las Vegas, USA
31 Jan 2015
Welterweight
VS
54%
Mein
46%
Alves
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:39
JM
Jordan Mein
"Young Gun"
31 – 12
6'0"73" reachOrthodox36 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 20
TA
Thiago Alves
"Pitbull"
23 – 15
Well-Rounded2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'9"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Mein

This is a genuine toss-up — Mein at 54% vs Alves at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Alves throws more volume but Mein connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Mein's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Alves has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Mein
Alves
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'9"
73"+
Reach
70"
36+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Mein
Alves
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.6
16.5
45.6
Performance Avg
47.3
39
Quality of Victory
42
100
Momentum Score
63
Mein
Alves
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.6
45%
Strike Accuracy
45%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
6
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground6
Mein
Alves
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.5
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Mein
Alves
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
6
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/43 fights
Chin rating based on
27/38 fights
Mein
Alves
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
63
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Mein
Alves
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
53%
2
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Mein
Alves
Striking5.1 / 5.8Volume5.9 / 4.3Grappling1.4 / 1.5Wrestling1.0 / 1.0Submission0.0 / 0.7Pressure4.5 / 5.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
Mein
Strike Zones
Alves
Mein
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY1LEGS8 absorbed
Alves
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY1LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Alves targets the head (75% of attacks) — Mein absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Mein
RND
Alves
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Mein · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W3.1L4.5W5.0W2.8L5.5L6.6L4.5W4.5W2013-032014-082017-072018-07
WinLossTrend

Alves · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0102.8L5.0W5.0W2.8L4.5W5.2W5.2W4.2W5.2W5.2W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W5.5L5.0W4.0L4.5W5.2W4.4L5.9L4.5W2.8L5.5L5.1W5.5L1.6L2005-102007-112011-052017-042019-12
WinLossTrend

Mein · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Erick SilvaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker · 2017-07
L · Dec · R3
Emil MeekRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12
L · KO · R2
Thiago AlvesRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz · 2015-01

Alves · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Tim MeansRating 1.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
L · Dec · R3
Laureano StaropoliRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Aleksei KunchenkoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
L · KO · R2
Curtis MillenderRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02

News & Media

Jordan Mein · Thiago Alves
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