UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier
Copenhagen, Denmark
28 Sept 2019
Women's Bantamweight
VS
73%
Chiasson
27%
Lansberg
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Chiasson
Chiasson is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 39 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Chiasson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Lansberg has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Chiasson's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lansberg has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Chiasson
Lansberg
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'7"
72"+
Reach
65"
34+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Chiasson
Lansberg
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
61.5
22.2
53.0
Performance Avg
29.5
50
Quality of Victory
25
96
Momentum Score
40
Chiasson
Lansberg
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.2
47%
Strike Accuracy
53%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
12
6
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance2
6Clinch6
0Ground7
Chiasson
Lansberg
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Chiasson
Lansberg
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
36
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/17 fights
Chin rating based on
11/18 fights
Chiasson
Lansberg
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
96
40
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Chiasson
Lansberg
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Chiasson
Lansberg
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.1
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
ChiassonLansberg
Strike Zones
Chiasson
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedLansberg
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Chiasson targets the body (86% of attacks) — Lansberg absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Lansberg targets the head (80% of attacks) — Chiasson absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Chiasson
RND
Lansberg
0/0R00/0
Chiasson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Lansberg · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Chiasson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ailin PerezRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Yana SantosRating 5.6Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Ketlen VieiraRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
W · R2
Mayra Bueno SilvaRating 4.9UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Sub · R1
Pannie KianzadRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
Lansberg · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Mayra Bueno SilvaRating 3.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02
L · Dec · R3
Karol RosaRating 6.2Decision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
L · Dec · R3
Pannie KianzadRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Sara McMannRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
W · Dec · R3
Macy ChiassonRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier · 2019-09
