UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez
Phoenix, USA
17 Feb 2019
Featherweight
VS
73%
Fili
27%
Jury
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Fili
Fili is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Fili throws more volume but Jury connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Fili's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jury has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Fili
Jury
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
74"+
Reach
73"
35+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Fili
Jury
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.8
17.8
42.0
Performance Avg
51.3
35
Quality of Victory
41
100
Momentum Score
50
Fili
Jury
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.3
37%
Strike Accuracy
44%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.1
4 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
17
5
Body
3
4
Leg
4
RangeRange
36Distance24
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Fili
Jury
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.2
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Fili
Jury
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
62
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/38 fights
Chin rating based on
12/21 fights
Fili
Jury
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
50
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Fili
Jury
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
31%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
1
9
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Fili
Jury
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
3.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
FiliJury
Strike Zones
Fili
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedJury
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Fili targets the head (75% of attacks) — Jury absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Jury targets the head (71% of attacks) — Fili absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Fili
RND
Jury
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Fili · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Jury · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Fili · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jose DelgadoRating 7Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Christian RodriguezRating 5.1Decision
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L · Sub · R1
Melquizael CostaRating 2.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Cub SwansonRating 5Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · KO · R1
Dan IgeRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
Jury · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
L · KO · R1
Chad MendesRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Ricky GlennRating 4.6Decision
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm · 2017-12
W · KO · R1
Mike de la TorreRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
L · Sub · R1
Charles OliveiraRating 2.9Submission
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