Johny Hendricks vs Paulo Costa — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre

New York City, USA

4 Nov 2017

Middleweight

24%

Hendricks

76%

Costa

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 2 · 1:23

Johny Hendricks

"Bigg Rigg"

18 – 8

5'9"69" reachSouthpaw42 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 18

Paulo Costa

"The Eraser"

16 – 4

Striker2-fight win streak35 yrsOrthodox72" reach6'1"

CFR 55

★ Official Result

Paulo CostawinsKO/TKOR2 · 1:23

def. Johny Hendricks · UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Costa

→

Actual result

Costa wins

KO/TKO · R2

Pre-fight analysis

Costa is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Hendricks's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

HendricksCosta

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Hendricks

Costa

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'9"

Height

+6'1"

69"

Reach

+72"

Age

+35

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

Hendricks

Costa

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

17.8

55.3

48.2

Performance Avg

52.9

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Hendricks

Costa

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

5.1

/ 10

7.6

/ 10

4.5

Style: Pressure

6.4

6.2

Style: Volume

4.3

5 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

5 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

5Distance17

0Clinch2

0Ground1

Hendricks

Costa

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.5

/ 10

0.9

/ 10

1.0

Wrestling Style (/10)

0.6

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Hendricks

Costa

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

2 consec. KOs

Verdict

Moderate

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.7 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R2.0 stoppage

Most recent fight

Last KO loss

6 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

21/26 fights

Chin rating based on

12/20 fights

Hendricks

Costa

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

2-fight 📉 slide

Current form

2-fight 🔥 win streak

L · KO · R2

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

Last 5

W · KO · R3

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R5

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

Hendricks

Costa

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

39%

63%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hendricks

Costa

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

5.1

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

7.6

1.5

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

0.9

1.0

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.6

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

4.5

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

6.4

6.2

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

4.3

Hendricks

Strike Zones

Costa

Hendricks

Attacking

5 landed

Absorbing

20 absorbed

Costa

Attacking

20 landed

Absorbing

5 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Hendricks targets the legs (60% of attacks) — Costa absorbs 60% of strikes there

🎯Costa targets the head (75% of attacks) — Hendricks absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hendricks

RND

Costa

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Hendricks · Last 5

L · KO · R2

Paulo Costa

KO/TKO

UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11

L · KO · R2

Tim Boetsch

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06

W · Dec · R3

Hector Lombard

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02

L · Dec · R3

Neil Magny

Decision

UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12

L · Dec · R3

Kelvin Gastelum

Decision

UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07

Costa · Last 5

W · KO · R3

Azamat Murzakanov

KO/TKO

UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04

W · Dec · R3

Roman Kopylov

Decision

UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07

L · Dec · R5

Sean Strickland

Decision

UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06

L · Dec · R3

Robert Whittaker

Decision

UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02

W · Dec · R3

Luke Rockhold

Decision

UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08

News & Media

Johny Hendricks · Paulo Costa

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