UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
26 Jul 2025
Heavyweight
VS
90%
Buday
10%
Buchecha
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Martin
Martin Buday
"Badys"
16 – 2
6'4"77" reachOrthodox34 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 55
Marcus
Marcus Buchecha
5 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'2"
CFR 6

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Buday

Buday is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 48 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Buday has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.

Buday has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Buday
Buchecha
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'2"
77"
Reach
77"
34+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Buday
Buchecha
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.5
6.1
52.5
Performance Avg
0.0
29
Quality of Victory
0
78
Momentum Score
0
Buday
Buchecha
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
0.2
53%
Strike Accuracy
35%
1.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
2
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
13Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Buday
Buchecha
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Buday
Buchecha
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/18 fights
Chin rating based on
3/8 fights
Buday
Buchecha
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
0
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
Buday
Buchecha
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Buday
Buchecha
Striking1.8 / 0.0Volume8.6 / 0.0Grappling3.2 / 0.0Wrestling2.2 / 0.0Submission1.4 / 0.0Pressure3.6 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Buday
Strike Zones
Buchecha
Buday
Attacking
12HEAD0BODY1LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Buchecha
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD0BODY1LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Buday targets the head (92% of attacks) — Buchecha absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Buchecha targets the head (100% of attacks) — Buday absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Buday
RND
Buchecha
0/0R00/0

Buday · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.5W4.5W4.5W5.1W3.4L5.2W5.8W4.5W2022-042023-042023-122025-042025-07
WinLossTrend

Buchecha · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0106.5L3.2L2025-072026-04
WinLossTrend

Buday · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Marcus BuchechaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · Dec · R3
Uran SatybaldievRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · KO · R2
Shamil GazievRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
W · Sub · R1
Josh ParisianRating 5.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08

Buchecha · Last 3

L · KO · R2
Ryan SpannRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
Upcoming
Kennedy Nzechukwu
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07

News & Media

Martin Buday · Marcus Buchecha
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