The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale
Las Vegas, USA
13 Apr 2013
Featherweight
VS
57%
Sicilia
43%
Blanco
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Sicilia
This is a genuine toss-up — Sicilia at 57% vs Blanco at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Sicilia has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Blanco has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Sicilia's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sicilia
Blanco
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
67"
Reach
+71"
40+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sicilia
Blanco
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.0
12.0
43.7
Performance Avg
38.0
45
Quality of Victory
34
59
Momentum Score
13
Sicilia
Blanco
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.5
40%
Strike Accuracy
45%
6.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
19
1
Body
0
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
4Distance13
3Clinch9
0Ground0
Sicilia
Blanco
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Sicilia
Blanco
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
70
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/23 fights
Chin rating based on
9/20 fights
Sicilia
Blanco
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
13
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Sicilia
Blanco
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
25%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sicilia
Blanco
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
SiciliaBlanco
Strike Zones
Sicilia
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedBlanco
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sicilia targets the head (86% of attacks) — Blanco absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Blanco targets the head (86% of attacks) — Sicilia absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sicilia
RND
Blanco
0/0R00/0
Sicilia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Blanco · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Sicilia · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gavin TuckerRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
L · Sub · R2
Gabriel BenitezRating 2.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · 2016-09
L · KO · R1
Dooho ChoiRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal · 2015-11
W · Dec · R3
Yaotzin MezaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Akira CorassaniRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01
Blanco · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Chas SkellyRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · 2016-09
L · Sub · R1
Luke SandersRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01
W · KO · R1
Mike de la TorreRating 5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07
W · Dec · R3
Dan HookerRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson · 2014-09
W · Dec · R3
Andy OgleRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · 2014-05