METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic
Las Vegas, USA
29 Aug 2020
Middleweight
VS
32%
Chirico
68%
Cummings
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AD
Alessio Di Chirico
"Manzo"
137
6'0"74" reachOrthodox36 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 20
ZC
Zak Cummings
257
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak42 yrsSouthpaw75" reach6'0"
CFR 43
★ Official Result
Zak CummingswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Alessio Di Chirico · UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cummings
Actual result
Cummings wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Cummings holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Chirico has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Chirico's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
ChiricoCummings
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Chirico
Cummings
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
+75"
36+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Chirico
Cummings
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
42.5
39.3
Performance Avg
53.3
41
Quality of Victory
41
25
Momentum Score
63
Chirico
Cummings
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.7
/ 10
3.4
/ 10
4.6
Style: Pressure
6.3
4.7
Style: Volume
4.6
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
16
5
Body
6
3
Leg
3
RangeRange
20Distance25
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Chirico
Cummings
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
0
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Chirico
Cummings
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
82
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
11/20 fights
Chin rating based on
14/32 fights
Chirico
Cummings
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
63
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Chirico
Cummings
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
60%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
4
2
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Chirico
Cummings
Striking5.7 / 3.4Volume4.7 / 4.6Grappling1.2 / 4.2Wrestling0.8 / 2.9Submission0.0 / 4.0Pressure4.6 / 6.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
Chirico
Strike Zones
Cummings
Chirico
Attacking
12HEAD5BODY3LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD6BODY3LEGS25 absorbed
Cummings
Attacking
16HEAD6BODY3LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD5BODY3LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Chirico targets the head (60% of attacks) — Cummings absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Cummings targets the head (64% of attacks) — Chirico absorbs 64% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Chirico
RND
Cummings
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Chirico · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Roman Kopylov
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa · 2022-09
L · KO · R1
Abdul Razak Alhassan
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
W · KO · R1
Joaquin Buckley
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Zak Cummings
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Makhmud Muradov
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier · 2019-09

Cummings · Last 5

W · KO · R3
Ed Herman
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
W · Dec · R3
Alessio Di Chirico
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Omari Akhmedov
Decision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · Sub · R3
Trevin Giles
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Trevor Smith
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12

News & Media

Alessio Di Chirico · Zak Cummings
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