UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic
Las Vegas, USA
29 Aug 2020
Middleweight
VS
32%
Chirico
68%
Cummings
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AD
Alessio Di Chirico
"Manzo"
13 – 7
6'0"74" reachOrthodox36 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 20
ZC
Zak Cummings
25 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak41 yrsSouthpaw75" reach6'0"
CFR 43

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Cummings

Cummings holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Chirico has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Cummings throws more volume but Chirico connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Chirico's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Chirico
Cummings
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
+75"
36+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Chirico
Cummings
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
42.5
39.3
Performance Avg
53.3
41
Quality of Victory
41
25
Momentum Score
63
Chirico
Cummings
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.5
43%
Strike Accuracy
39%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
16
5
Body
6
3
Leg
3
RangeRange
20Distance25
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Chirico
Cummings
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.2
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Chirico
Cummings
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
82
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/20 fights
Chin rating based on
14/32 fights
Chirico
Cummings
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
63
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Chirico
Cummings
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
60%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
4
2
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Chirico
Cummings
Striking5.7 / 3.4Volume4.7 / 4.6Grappling1.2 / 4.2Wrestling0.8 / 2.9Submission0.0 / 4.0Pressure4.6 / 6.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
Chirico
Strike Zones
Cummings
Chirico
Attacking
12HEAD5BODY3LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD6BODY3LEGS25 absorbed
Cummings
Attacking
16HEAD6BODY3LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD5BODY3LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Chirico targets the head (60% of attacks) — Cummings absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Cummings targets the head (64% of attacks) — Chirico absorbs 64% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Chirico
RND
Cummings
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Chirico · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5L4.5W1.5L5.2W5.0W6.1L6.5L5.9L6.2W3.0L5.0L2016-042017-122019-092021-082022-09
WinLossTrend

Cummings · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W4.5W3.8L5.0W4.8W6.0L5.2W5.0W5.5L4.5W5.7W5.5L4.5W5.7W2013-082016-042018-052020-082023-04
WinLossTrend

Chirico · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Roman KopylovRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa · 2022-09
L · KO · R1
Abdul Razak AlhassanRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
W · KO · R1
Joaquin BuckleyRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Zak CummingsRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Makhmud MuradovRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier · 2019-09

Cummings · Last 5

W · KO · R3
Ed HermanRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
W · Dec · R3
Alessio Di ChiricoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · Sub · R3
Trevin GilesRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12

News & Media

Alessio Di Chirico · Zak Cummings
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