METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez
Las Vegas, USA
27 Apr 2024
Lightweight
VS
8%
Llontop
92%
Padilla
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:33
★ Official Result
Chris PadillawinsSubmissionR1 · 4:33
def. James Llontop · UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Padilla
→
Actual result
Padilla wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Padilla is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 66 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Padilla has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 41 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LlontopPadilla
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Llontop
Padilla
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'9"
73"
Reach
+74"
27+
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Llontop
Padilla
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
6.0
72.0
0.0
Performance Avg
64.8
0
Quality of Victory
41
0
Momentum Score
100
Llontop
Padilla
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
0.0
Style: Pressure
7.2
0.0
Style: Volume
3.6
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
6
2
Body
1
10
Leg
5
RangeRange
19Distance9
0Clinch2
0Ground1
Llontop
Padilla
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Llontop
Padilla
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
100
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/19 fights
Chin rating based on
6/23 fights
Llontop
Padilla
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Sub · R3
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
Llontop
Padilla
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
60%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Llontop
Padilla
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.2
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
LlontopPadilla
Strike Zones
Llontop
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedPadilla
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Llontop targets the legs (53% of attacks) — Padilla absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Padilla targets the head (50% of attacks) — Llontop absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Llontop
RND
Padilla
0/0R00/0
Llontop · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Mauricio RuffyDecision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Viacheslav BorshchevDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
L · Sub · R1
Chris PadillaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
Padilla · Last 5
W · Sub · R3
Nasrat HaqparastSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08
Upcoming
MarQuel MederosDecision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R2
Ismael BonfimKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Jai HerbertDecision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · R2
RongzhuUFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09