UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic
Las Vegas, USA
29 Aug 2020
Women's Flyweight
VS
30%
Kim
70%
Grasso
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JY
Ji Yeon Kim
"Firefist"
9 – 7
5'7"72" reachOrthodox36 yrs5-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 25
Alexa
Alexa Grasso
17 – 5
Well-Rounded32 yrsOrthodox66" reach5'5"
CFR 59

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Grasso

Grasso is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 34 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Grasso has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Striking split: Kim throws more volume but Grasso connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Kim
Grasso
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'5"
72"+
Reach
66"
36
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kim
Grasso
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.4
59.1
33.0
Performance Avg
52.8
35
Quality of Victory
45
15
Momentum Score
84
Kim
Grasso
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
1.4
41%
Strike Accuracy
41%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
12
2
Body
3
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
10Distance10
1Clinch2
0Ground4
Kim
Grasso
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
3.4
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.2
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kim
Grasso
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
80
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/16 fights
Chin rating based on
15/22 fights
Kim
Grasso
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
84
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Upcoming
W · Sub · R4
Kim
Grasso
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Kim
Grasso
Striking3.9 / 2.4Volume5.9 / 6.6Grappling1.6 / 3.4Wrestling1.1 / 2.4Submission0.0 / 2.2Pressure3.2 / 4.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.4
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
3.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
Kim
Strike Zones
Grasso
Kim
Attacking
9HEAD2BODY0LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD3BODY1LEGS16 absorbed
Grasso
Attacking
12HEAD3BODY1LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD2BODY0LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Kim targets the head (82% of attacks) — Grasso absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Grasso targets the head (75% of attacks) — Kim absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Kim
RND
Grasso
0/0R00/0

Kim · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L5.2W6.7L6.2L6.5L6.9L5.5L2017-062018-112021-092023-05
WinLossTrend

Grasso · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W5.5L4.5W3.4L4.5W5.8L4.5W5.5W5.2W5.2W6.7W6.9L7.0L6.0W2016-112019-062022-032025-052026-03
WinLossTrend

Kim · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Mandy BohmRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Joselyne EdwardsRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · 2022-07
L · Dec · R3
Priscila CachoeiraRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Molly McCannRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Alexa GrassoRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08

Grasso · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Maycee BarberRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R5
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
Upcoming
Valentina Shevchenko
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
W · Sub · R4
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 6.7
Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03

News & Media

Ji Yeon Kim · Alexa Grasso
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