★ Championship Bout · Women's Bantamweight
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey
Las Vegas, USA
30 Dec 2016
Women's Bantamweight
VS
65%
Nunes
35%
Rousey
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:48
AN
Amanda Nunes
"The Lioness"
23 – 5
5'8"69" reachOrthodox37 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 58
RR
Ronda Rousey
"Rowdy"
12 – 2
Striker2-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox66" reach5'7"
CFR 31

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Nunes

Nunes holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Rousey has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Rousey has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.

Rousey has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Nunes's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Rousey has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Nunes
Rousey
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
69"+
Reach
66"
37+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Nunes
Rousey
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.2
31.1
75.2
Performance Avg
87.0
66
Quality of Victory
95
100
Momentum Score
100
Nunes
Rousey
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.9
54%
Strike Accuracy
55%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.5
7 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
6
3
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
27Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Nunes
Rousey
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Nunes
Rousey
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
56
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
15 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/28 fights
Chin rating based on
8/14 fights
Nunes
Rousey
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Nunes
Rousey
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
100%
7
KO / TKO Wins
3
3
Submission Wins
3
6
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Nunes
Rousey
Striking6.2 / 6.5Volume4.8 / 1.5Grappling2.4 / 4.0Wrestling1.7 / 2.8Submission1.9 / 5.0Pressure7.0 / 9.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
1.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.3
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.5
Nunes
Strike Zones
Rousey
Nunes
Attacking
23HEAD3BODY1LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Rousey
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD3BODY1LEGS27 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Nunes targets the head (85% of attacks) — Rousey absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Rousey targets the head (86% of attacks) — Nunes absorbs 86% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Nunes
RND
Rousey
0/0R00/0

Nunes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.0W6.2W4.0L5.0W5.0W5.9W5.9W5.0W5.9W6.1W5.0W5.1W5.7W4.8W5.0W3.7L6.0W5.3W2013-082016-032018-122021-122023-06
WinLossTrend

Rousey · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W6.1W5.0W5.0W5.0W5.0W2.2L2.7L2013-022014-022015-022015-112016-12
WinLossTrend

Nunes · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Irene AldanaRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
W · Dec · R5
Julianna PenaRating 6
Decision
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · 2022-07
L · Sub · R2
Julianna PenaRating 3.7
Submission
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
W · Sub · R1
Megan AndersonRating 5
Submission
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
W · Dec · R5
Felicia SpencerRating 4.8
Decision
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06

Rousey · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Amanda NunesRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
L · KO · R2
Holly HolmRating 2.2
KO/TKO
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
W · KO · R1
Bethe CorreiaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · 2015-08
W · Sub · R1
Cat ZinganoRating 5
Submission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
W · KO · R1
Alexis DavisRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida · 2014-07

News & Media

Amanda Nunes · Ronda Rousey
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