METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
Sydney, Australia
9 Sept 2023
Lightweight
VS
55%
Mullarkey
45%
Makdessi
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jamie MullarkeywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. John Makdessi · UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Mullarkey
→
Actual result
Mullarkey wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Mullarkey at 55% vs Makdessi at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Mullarkey's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Makdessi has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MullarkeyMakdessi
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Mullarkey
Makdessi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'8"
74"+
Reach
68"
32+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Mullarkey
Makdessi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.1
30.9
40.0
Performance Avg
42.2
36
Quality of Victory
34
51
Momentum Score
51
Mullarkey
Makdessi
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
3.7
Style: Pressure
3.6
6.3
Style: Volume
6.9
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
20
1
Body
7
12
Leg
11
RangeRange
29Distance38
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Mullarkey
Makdessi
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Mullarkey
Makdessi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
32
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/27 fights
Chin rating based on
20/27 fights
Mullarkey
Makdessi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
51
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Mullarkey
Makdessi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
27%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mullarkey
Makdessi
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
MullarkeyMakdessi
Strike Zones
Mullarkey
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
38 absorbedMakdessi
Attacking
38 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Mullarkey targets the head (55% of attacks) — Makdessi absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Makdessi targets the head (53% of attacks) — Mullarkey absorbs 53% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mullarkey
RND
Makdessi
0/0R00/0
Mullarkey · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Quillan SalkilldSubmission
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Rolando BedoyaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
L · KO · R1
Mauricio RuffyKO/TKO
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · KO · R1
Nasrat HaqparastKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
W · Dec · R3
John MakdessiDecision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
Makdessi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jamie MullarkeyDecision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Nasrat HaqparastDecision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa · 2022-09
W · Dec · R3
Ignacio BahamondesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
L · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Dec · R3
Jesus PinedoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03