UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve
Rotterdam, Netherlands
2 Sept 2017
Women's Bantamweight
VS
72%
Reneau
28%
Bernardo
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:54
MR
CFR 24
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Reneau
Reneau is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Reneau has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Striking split: Reneau throws more volume but Bernardo connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Reneau's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Bernardo has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Reneau
Bernardo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'4"
68"
Reach
68"
48
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Reneau
Bernardo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.5
9.1
44.1
Performance Avg
25.0
46
Quality of Victory
25
15
Momentum Score
28
Reneau
Bernardo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.6
45%
Strike Accuracy
55%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
2
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch1
23Ground1
Reneau
Bernardo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
3.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Reneau
Bernardo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
54
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/17 fights
Chin rating based on
4/10 fights
Reneau
Bernardo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
28
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Reneau
Bernardo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Reneau
Bernardo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
2.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
ReneauBernardo
Strike Zones
Reneau
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedBernardo
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Reneau targets the head (100% of attacks) — Bernardo absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Bernardo targets the head (67% of attacks) — Reneau absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Reneau
RND
Bernardo
0/0R00/0
Reneau · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Bernardo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Reneau · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Miesha TateRating 4.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
Macy ChiassonRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · 2021-03
L · Dec · R3
Raquel PenningtonRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
L · Dec · R3
Yana SantosRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · Dec · R3
Cat ZinganoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
Bernardo · Last 4
L · KO · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 4.7KO/TKO
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Sarah MorasRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Irene AldanaRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · 2018-01
L · KO · R3
Marion ReneauRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · 2017-09