METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve
Rotterdam, Netherlands
2 Sept 2017
Women's Bantamweight
VS
62%
Reneau
38%
Bernardo
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:54
MR
CFR 15
★ Official Result
Marion ReneauwinsKO/TKOR3 · 4:54
def. Talita Bernardo · UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Reneau
→
Actual result
Reneau wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Reneau holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Bernardo has real paths to victory.
Key angles
Reneau has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Risk flags
Reneau's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Bernardo has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ReneauBernardo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Reneau
Bernardo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'4"
68"
Reach
68"
49
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Reneau
Bernardo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.9
9.1
44.1
Performance Avg
25.0
46
Quality of Victory
25
15
Momentum Score
28
Reneau
Bernardo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.8
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
6.8
Style: Pressure
0.8
2.4
Style: Volume
8.5
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
2
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch1
23Ground1
Reneau
Bernardo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.7
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
4.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Reneau
Bernardo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
54
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/17 fights
Chin rating based on
4/10 fights
Reneau
Bernardo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
28
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Reneau
Bernardo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Reneau
Bernardo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
2.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
ReneauBernardo
Strike Zones
Reneau
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedBernardo
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Reneau targets the head (100% of attacks) — Bernardo absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Bernardo targets the head (67% of attacks) — Reneau absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Reneau
RND
Bernardo
0/0R00/0
Reneau · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Miesha TateKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
Macy ChiassonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · 2021-03
L · Dec · R3
Raquel PenningtonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
L · Dec · R3
Yana SantosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · Dec · R3
Cat ZinganoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
Bernardo · Last 4
L · KO · R3
Viviane AraujoKO/TKO
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Sarah MorasDecision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Irene AldanaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · 2018-01
L · KO · R3
Marion ReneauKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · 2017-09