UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov
Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
22 Jun 2024
Light Heavyweight
VS
50%
Gadzhiyasulov
50%
Ribeiro
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Gadzhiyasulov
This is a genuine toss-up — Gadzhiyasulov at 50% vs Ribeiro at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Ribeiro has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Striking split: Ribeiro throws more volume but Gadzhiyasulov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Ribeiro has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Gadzhiyasulov
Ribeiro
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+81"
32
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gadzhiyasulov
Ribeiro
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.7
38.2
35.0
Performance Avg
33.8
25
Quality of Victory
37
46
Momentum Score
54
Gadzhiyasulov
Ribeiro
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
1.3
52%
Strike Accuracy
40%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
6Ground0
Gadzhiyasulov
Ribeiro
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Gadzhiyasulov
Ribeiro
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
20
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/10 fights
Chin rating based on
7/27 fights
Gadzhiyasulov
Ribeiro
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
54
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Gadzhiyasulov
Ribeiro
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gadzhiyasulov
Ribeiro
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
GadzhiyasulovRibeiro
Strike Zones
Gadzhiyasulov
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedRibeiro
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gadzhiyasulov targets the head (100% of attacks) — Ribeiro absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Ribeiro targets the head (100% of attacks) — Gadzhiyasulov absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gadzhiyasulov
RND
Ribeiro
0/0R00/0
Gadzhiyasulov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Ribeiro · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Gadzhiyasulov · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Bruno LopesRating 5.5Decision
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W · Dec · R3
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L · Sub · R1
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