UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski
Perth, Australia
11 Feb 2023
Lightweight
VS
46%
Tukhugov
54%
Brener
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
ZT
Zubaira Tukhugov
"Warrior"
20 – 6
5'8"68" reachOrthodox35 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 44
Elves
Elves Brener
16 – 6
Striker3-fight slide28 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'10"
CFR 51

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Brener

This is a genuine toss-up — Tukhugov at 46% vs Brener at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Brener has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Tukhugov
Brener
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
68"
Reach
+72"
35
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tukhugov
Brener
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.4
51.3
48.4
Performance Avg
47.0
39
Quality of Victory
45
92
Momentum Score
52
Tukhugov
Brener
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.8
44%
Strike Accuracy
46%
5.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
14
0
Body
5
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
16Distance19
1Clinch3
0Ground0
Tukhugov
Brener
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.8
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Tukhugov
Brener
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/26 fights
Chin rating based on
6/22 fights
Tukhugov
Brener
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
92
52
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Tukhugov
Brener
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Tukhugov
Brener
Striking5.3 / 7.7Volume6.0 / 3.7Grappling1.4 / 0.8Wrestling1.0 / 0.6Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.7 / 6.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.7
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
Tukhugov
Strike Zones
Brener
Tukhugov
Attacking
16HEAD0BODY1LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD5BODY3LEGS22 absorbed
Brener
Attacking
14HEAD5BODY3LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD0BODY1LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Tukhugov targets the head (94% of attacks) — Brener absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Brener targets the head (64% of attacks) — Tukhugov absorbs 64% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Tukhugov
RND
Brener
0/0R00/0

Tukhugov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.7W5.0W4.5W6.3L5.0W5.6L4.6W6.3L2014-022015-122020-022021-102023-02
WinLossTrend

Brener · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.0W5.6W5.0W7.1L5.3L6.2L2023-022023-072023-112024-052024-082025-08
WinLossTrend

Tukhugov · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Elves BrenerRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
W · Dec · R3
Ricardo RamosRating 4.6
Decision
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Hakeem DawoduRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09
W · KO · R1
Kevin AguilarRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · 2020-02
Upcoming
Lerone Murphy
Decision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09

Brener · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Esteban RibovicsRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · KO · R3
Joel AlvarezRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Myktybek OrolbaiRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · KO · R1
Kaynan KruschewskyRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11
W · KO · R3
Guram KutateladzeRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07

News & Media

Zubaira Tukhugov · Elves Brener
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