UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee
Oklahoma City, USA
25 Jun 2017
Middleweight
VS
48%
Boetsch
52%
Hendricks
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:46
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hendricks
This is a genuine toss-up — Boetsch at 48% vs Hendricks at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Boetsch has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Boetsch's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hendricks has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Boetsch
Hendricks
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'9"
74"+
Reach
69"
45
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Boetsch
Hendricks
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.6
17.8
46.0
Performance Avg
48.2
43
Quality of Victory
39
69
Momentum Score
80
Boetsch
Hendricks
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.9
57%
Strike Accuracy
49%
6.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.1
7 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
0
2
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance1
5Clinch0
1Ground0
Boetsch
Hendricks
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Boetsch
Hendricks
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
24
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/34 fights
Chin rating based on
21/26 fights
Boetsch
Hendricks
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
69
80
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Boetsch
Hendricks
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
39%
7
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Boetsch
Hendricks
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
BoetschHendricks
Strike Zones
Boetsch
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedHendricks
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Boetsch targets the head (83% of attacks) — Hendricks absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Hendricks targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Boetsch absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Boetsch
RND
Hendricks
0/0R00/0
Boetsch · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Hendricks · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Boetsch · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · Sub · R1
Antonio Carlos JuniorRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
W · KO · R2
Johny HendricksRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · Sub · R1
Jacare SouzaRating 1.5Submission
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
W · KO · R1
Rafael NatalRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor · 2016-11
Hendricks · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Paulo CostaRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
L · KO · R2
Tim BoetschRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
W · Dec · R3
Hector LombardRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1Decision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8Decision
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07