UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee
Oklahoma City, USA
25 Jun 2017
Middleweight
VS
48%
Boetsch
52%
Hendricks
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:46
TB
Tim Boetsch
"The Barbarian"
2113
6'0"74" reachOrthodox45 yrs2-fight slideStriker
CFR 17
JH
Johny Hendricks
"Bigg Rigg"
188
Well-Rounded2-fight slide42 yrsSouthpaw69" reach5'9"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Hendricks

This is a genuine toss-up — Boetsch at 48% vs Hendricks at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Boetsch has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Boetsch's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Hendricks has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Boetsch
Hendricks
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'9"
74"+
Reach
69"
45
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Boetsch
Hendricks
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.6
17.8
46.0
Performance Avg
48.2
43
Quality of Victory
39
69
Momentum Score
80
Boetsch
Hendricks
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.9
57%
Strike Accuracy
49%
6.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.1
7 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
0
2
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance1
5Clinch0
1Ground0
Boetsch
Hendricks
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Boetsch
Hendricks
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
24
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
24/34 fights
Chin rating based on
21/26 fights
Boetsch
Hendricks
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
69
80
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Boetsch
Hendricks
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
39%
7
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Boetsch
Hendricks
Striking6.8 / 5.1Volume4.3 / 6.2Grappling1.0 / 1.5Wrestling0.7 / 1.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.6 / 4.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
Boetsch
Strike Zones
Hendricks
Boetsch
Attacking
10HEAD2BODY0LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
Hendricks
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD2BODY0LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Boetsch targets the head (83% of attacks) — Hendricks absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Hendricks targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Boetsch absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Boetsch
RND
Hendricks
0/0R00/0

Boetsch · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.0W2.8L5.0W5.5L4.5W2.8L4.5W4.5W5.5W4.5W4.0L5.5L4.5W1.5L5.3W2.8L1.5L2.9L5.2W5.0W1.5L5.2W1.5L5.5L2008-022011-052013-102016-072019-03
WinLossTrend

Hendricks · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W4.5W4.5W5.2W5.5L5.0W4.5W5.0W4.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L4.8W5.8L4.9W2.1L5.8L6.1L4.5W2.8L3.8L2009-082011-082014-032017-022017-11
WinLossTrend

Boetsch · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · Sub · R1
Antonio Carlos JuniorRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
W · KO · R2
Johny HendricksRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · Sub · R1
Jacare SouzaRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
W · KO · R1
Rafael NatalRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor · 2016-11

Hendricks · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Paulo CostaRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
L · KO · R2
Tim BoetschRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
W · Dec · R3
Hector LombardRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1
Decision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07

News & Media

Tim Boetsch · Johny Hendricks
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