METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2
Orlando, USA
19 Dec 2015
Lightweight
VS
48%
Lentz
52%
Castillo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Nik LentzwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Danny Castillo · UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Castillo
→
Actual result
Lentz wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Lentz at 48% vs Castillo at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Lentz's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Castillo has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LentzCastillo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lentz
Castillo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
68"
Reach
+71"
42+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lentz
Castillo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.0
17.2
45.3
Performance Avg
40.6
35
Quality of Victory
34
53
Momentum Score
89
Lentz
Castillo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
3.9
/ 10
4.3
Style: Pressure
3.5
6.4
Style: Volume
6.7
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
20
3
Body
1
3
Leg
3
RangeRange
19Distance22
3Clinch2
0Ground0
Lentz
Castillo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lentz
Castillo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
46
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/42 fights
Chin rating based on
14/27 fights
Lentz
Castillo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
89
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Lentz
Castillo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
36%
29%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lentz
Castillo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
6.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
LentzCastillo
Strike Zones
Lentz
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedCastillo
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lentz targets the head (73% of attacks) — Castillo absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Castillo targets the head (83% of attacks) — Lentz absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lentz
RND
Castillo
0/0R00/0
Lentz · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Arnold AllenDecision
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L · KO · R2
Charles OliveiraKO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Scott HoltzmanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · KO · R2
Gray MaynardKO/TKO
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
Castillo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Nik LentzDecision
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · 2015-12
L · Dec · R3
Jim MillerDecision
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
L · KO · R2
Paul FelderKO/TKO
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier · 2015-01
L · Dec · R3
Tony FergusonDecision
UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto · 2014-08
W · KO · R2
Charlie BrennemanKO/TKO
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira · 2014-04