UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira
Nashville, USA
12 Jul 2025
Heavyweight
VS
50%
Lewis
50%
Teixeira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:35
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lewis
This is a genuine toss-up — Lewis at 50% vs Teixeira at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Lewis has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Striking split: Lewis throws more volume but Teixeira connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Lewis's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lewis
Teixeira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'7"
79"
Reach
+83"
41
Age
+26
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lewis
Teixeira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.2
59.8
57.5
Performance Avg
52.2
53
Quality of Victory
43
84
Momentum Score
85
Lewis
Teixeira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.6
56%
Strike Accuracy
65%
9.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.3
16 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
3
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance3
1Clinch0
6Ground0
Lewis
Teixeira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lewis
Teixeira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
78
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
8
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/42 fights
Chin rating based on
4/10 fights
Lewis
Teixeira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
85
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Lewis
Teixeira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
50%
16
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lewis
Teixeira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.3
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
LewisTeixeira
Strike Zones
Lewis
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTeixeira
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lewis targets the head (89% of attacks) — Teixeira absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Teixeira targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lewis absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lewis
RND
Teixeira
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Lewis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Teixeira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Lewis · Last 5
Upcoming
Josh HokitUFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
L · KO · R2
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 4.3KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Tallison TeixeiraRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R5
Jailton AlmeidaRating 7.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11
Teixeira · Last 4
Upcoming
Sergei PavlovichUFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Tai TuivasaRating 4.9Decision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · KO · R1
Derrick LewisRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R1
Justin TafaRating 6.6KO/TKO
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02

