★ Championship Bout · Light Heavyweight
UFC 25: Ultimate Japan 3
Tokyo, Japan
14 Apr 2000
Light Heavyweight
VS
52%
Ortiz
48%
Silva
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ortiz
This is a genuine toss-up — Ortiz at 52% vs Silva at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Silva throws more volume but Ortiz connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Ortiz's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Silva has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Ortiz
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'11"
74"
Reach
74"
51
Age
+49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ortiz
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
18.9
57.3
Performance Avg
48.5
57
Quality of Victory
53
85
Momentum Score
72
Ortiz
Silva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.2
51%
Strike Accuracy
37%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.8
7 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Ortiz
Silva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.9
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.3
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ortiz
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
26
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.4 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/31 fights
Chin rating based on
12/48 fights
Ortiz
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
72
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Ortiz
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
80%
7
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ortiz
Silva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.8
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.4
OrtizSilva
Strike Zones
Ortiz
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedSilva
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ortiz targets the head (100% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Ortiz absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ortiz
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Ortiz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Ortiz · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Forrest GriffinRating 5.5Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
L · KO · R1
Rogerio NogueiraRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
L · KO · R2
Rashad EvansRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · 2011-08
W · Sub · R1
Ryan BaderRating 5Submission
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07
L · Dec · R3
Matt HamillRating 5.5Decision
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10
Silva · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Brian StannRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann · 2013-03
L · Dec · R5
Rich FranklinRating 5.5Decision
UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2 · 2012-06
W · KO · R2
Cung LeRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · 2011-11
L · KO · R1
Chris LebenRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07
W · Dec · R3
Michael BispingRating 4.5Decision
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02