METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy
Newark, USA
27 Mar 2010
Welterweight
VS
65%
Diaz
35%
Markham
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:47
★ Official Result
Nate DiazwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:47
def. Rory Markham · UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Diaz
→
Actual result
Diaz wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Diaz holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Markham has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Markham has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Diaz has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Diaz's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Markham has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DiazMarkham
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Diaz
Markham
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
76"+
Reach
71"
41+
Age
44
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Diaz
Markham
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.3
18.6
53.4
Performance Avg
49.3
50
Quality of Victory
60
100
Momentum Score
43
Diaz
Markham
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
1.5
50%
Strike Accuracy
22%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
1
2
Body
1
5
Leg
1
RangeRange
14Distance1
2Clinch2
18Ground0
Diaz
Markham
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Diaz
Markham
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
56
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/35 fights
Chin rating based on
3/23 fights
Diaz
Markham
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
43
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R5
L · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Diaz
Markham
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
10
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Diaz
Markham
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
5.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
6.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
DiazMarkham
Strike Zones
Diaz
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedMarkham
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Diaz targets the head (79% of attacks) — Markham absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Markham targets the head (33% of attacks) — Diaz absorbs 33% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Diaz
RND
Markham
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Diaz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Markham · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.7WinLossTrend
Diaz · Last 5
W · Sub · R4
Tony FergusonRating 5.9Submission
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 6.6Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · R3
Jorge MasvidalRating 4.8UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
W · Dec · R3
Anthony PettisRating 4.5Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
L · Dec · R5
Conor McGregorRating 7.5Decision
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
Markham · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Nate DiazRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy · 2010-03
L · KO · R1
Dan HardyRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 95: Sanchez vs Stevenson · 2009-02
W · KO · R1
Brodie FarberRating 5KO/TKO
UFC: Silva vs Irvin · 2008-07