METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy
Newark, USA
27 Mar 2010
Welterweight
VS
65%
Diaz
35%
Markham
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:47
★ Official Result
Nate DiazwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:47
def. Rory Markham · UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Diaz
→
Actual result
Diaz wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Diaz holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Markham has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Markham has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Diaz's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Markham has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DiazMarkham
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Diaz
Markham
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
76"+
Reach
71"
41+
Age
44
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Diaz
Markham
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.3
18.6
53.4
Performance Avg
49.3
50
Quality of Victory
60
100
Momentum Score
43
Diaz
Markham
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
7.0
Style: Pressure
8.0
3.2
Style: Volume
0.7
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
1
2
Body
1
5
Leg
1
RangeRange
14Distance1
2Clinch2
18Ground0
Diaz
Markham
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
6.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
10
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Diaz
Markham
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
56
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/35 fights
Chin rating based on
3/23 fights
Diaz
Markham
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
43
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R5
L · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Diaz
Markham
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
10
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Diaz
Markham
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
5.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
6.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
DiazMarkham
Strike Zones
Diaz
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedMarkham
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Diaz targets the head (79% of attacks) — Markham absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Markham targets the head (33% of attacks) — Diaz absorbs 33% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Diaz
RND
Markham
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Diaz · Last 5
W · Sub · R4
Tony FergusonSubmission
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsDecision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · R3
Jorge MasvidalUFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
W · Dec · R3
Anthony PettisDecision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
L · Dec · R5
Conor McGregorDecision
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
Markham · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Nate DiazKO/TKO
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy · 2010-03
L · KO · R1
Dan HardyKO/TKO
UFC 95: Sanchez vs Stevenson · 2009-02
W · KO · R1
Brodie FarberKO/TKO
UFC: Silva vs Irvin · 2008-07