The Ultimate Fighter: Heavyweights Finale
Las Vegas, USA
5 Dec 2009
Welterweight
VS
42%
Howard
58%
Hallman
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:55
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hallman
This is a genuine toss-up — Howard at 42% vs Hallman at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Hallman has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Howard has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Howard's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hallman has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Howard
Hallman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
72"
Reach
72"
43+
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Howard
Hallman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.7
18.9
40.1
Performance Avg
46.7
34
Quality of Victory
48
40
Momentum Score
79
Howard
Hallman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.6
57%
Strike Accuracy
42%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
0
3
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance1
0Clinch0
7Ground0
Howard
Hallman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.6
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Howard
Hallman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
30
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/37 fights
Chin rating based on
9/73 fights
Howard
Hallman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
79
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Howard
Hallman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
75%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Howard
Hallman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.6
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
HowardHallman
Strike Zones
Howard
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedHallman
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Howard targets the head (58% of attacks) — Hallman absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Hallman targets the body (100% of attacks) — Howard absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Howard
RND
Hallman
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Howard · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Hallman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Howard · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Tim MeansRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant · 2015-12
W · Dec · R3
Cathal PendredRating 4.5Decision
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L · KO · R1
Lorenz LarkinRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
L · Dec · R3
Brian EbersoleRating 5.5Decision
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Ryan LaFlareRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs Nelson · 2014-04
Hallman · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
John MakdessiRating 5Submission
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
L · KO · R1
Brian EbersoleRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · 2011-08
W · KO · R1
Karo ParisyanRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11
W · Dec · R3
Ben SaundersRating 4.5Decision
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen · 2010-08
L · KO · R3
John HowardRating 4KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavyweights Finale · 2009-12