UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang
Shanghai, China
23 Aug 2025
Lightweight
VS
46%
54%
Young
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Young
This is a genuine toss-up — at 46% vs Young at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Young has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Young
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'9"
71"+
Reach
70"
26
Age
+25
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Young
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.1
46.6
38.8
Performance Avg
41.7
43
Quality of Victory
25
26
Momentum Score
67
Young
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
3.1
30%
Strike Accuracy
54%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
23
3
Body
7
2
Leg
6
RangeRange
20Distance33
4Clinch3
0Ground0
Young
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Young
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/15 fights
Chin rating based on
3/14 fights
Young
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
67
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Young
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Young
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.0
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.3
Strike Zones
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedYoung
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯 targets the head (79% of attacks) — Young absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Young targets the head (64% of attacks) — absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
RND
Young
0/0R00/0
· QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Young · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
· Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gauge YoungRating 6.1Decision
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W · Dec · R3
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