UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi
Berlin, Germany
31 May 2014
Featherweight
VS
36%
Niinimaki
64%
Backstrom
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:15
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Backstrom
Backstrom holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Niinimaki has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Backstrom has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.
Niinimaki has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Niinimaki's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Niinimaki
Backstrom
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'1"
69"
Reach
43
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Niinimaki
Backstrom
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
9.8
17.7
25.0
Performance Avg
45.7
25
Quality of Victory
54
33
Momentum Score
35
Niinimaki
Backstrom
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.8
53%
Strike Accuracy
44%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
3
3
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance2
3Clinch1
2Ground2
Niinimaki
Backstrom
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Niinimaki
Backstrom
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/30 fights
Chin rating based on
3/14 fights
Niinimaki
Backstrom
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
35
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Niinimaki
Backstrom
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Niinimaki
Backstrom
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
NiinimakiBackstrom
Strike Zones
Niinimaki
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedBackstrom
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Niinimaki targets the head (57% of attacks) — Backstrom absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Backstrom targets the head (60% of attacks) — Niinimaki absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Niinimaki
RND
Backstrom
0/0R00/0
Niinimaki · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.9WinLossTrend
Backstrom · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Niinimaki · Last 4
L · Sub · R2
Renato MoicanoRating 3.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway · 2014-12
L · Sub · R1
Chas SkellyRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Dos Anjos · 2014-08
L · Sub · R1
Niklas BackstromRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
Rani YahyaRating 4.9Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rousey vs. Team Tate Finale · 2013-11
Backstrom · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Noad LahatRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne · 2015-06
L · KO · R1
Mike WilkinsonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
W · Sub · R1
Tom NiinimakiRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · 2014-05