METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi
Berlin, Germany
31 May 2014
Featherweight
VS
36%
Niinimaki
64%
Backstrom
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:15
★ Official Result
Niklas BackstromwinsSubmissionR1 · 4:15
def. Tom Niinimaki · UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Backstrom
→
Actual result
Backstrom wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Backstrom holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Niinimaki has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Backstrom has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.
Risk flags
Niinimaki's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NiinimakiBackstrom
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Niinimaki
Backstrom
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'1"
69"
Reach
44
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Niinimaki
Backstrom
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
9.8
17.7
25.0
Performance Avg
45.7
25
Quality of Victory
54
33
Momentum Score
35
Niinimaki
Backstrom
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
0.8
Style: Pressure
8.0
8.5
Style: Volume
0.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
3
3
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance2
3Clinch1
2Ground2
Niinimaki
Backstrom
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Niinimaki
Backstrom
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/30 fights
Chin rating based on
3/14 fights
Niinimaki
Backstrom
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
35
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Niinimaki
Backstrom
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Niinimaki
Backstrom
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
NiinimakiBackstrom
Strike Zones
Niinimaki
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedBackstrom
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Niinimaki targets the head (57% of attacks) — Backstrom absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Backstrom targets the head (60% of attacks) — Niinimaki absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Niinimaki
RND
Backstrom
0/0R00/0
Niinimaki · Last 4
L · Sub · R2
Renato MoicanoSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway · 2014-12
L · Sub · R1
Chas SkellySubmission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Dos Anjos · 2014-08
L · Sub · R1
Niklas BackstromSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
Rani YahyaDecision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rousey vs. Team Tate Finale · 2013-11
Backstrom · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Noad LahatDecision
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne · 2015-06
L · KO · R1
Mike WilkinsonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
W · Sub · R1
Tom NiinimakiSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · 2014-05