UFC 78: Validation
Newark, USA
17 Nov 2007
Light Heavyweight
VS
43%
Evans
57%
Bisping
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RE
Rashad Evans
"Suga"
19 – 8
6'0"75" reachOrthodox46 yrs5-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
MB
Michael Bisping
"The Count"
30 – 9
Well-Rounded2-fight slide47 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'1"
CFR 21

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Bisping

This is a genuine toss-up — Evans at 43% vs Bisping at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Bisping has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Evans's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Bisping has a chin rating of 2 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Evans
Bisping
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
75"
Reach
75"
46+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Evans
Bisping
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.3
20.5
53.1
Performance Avg
55.3
46
Quality of Victory
46
25
Momentum Score
100
Evans
Bisping
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.7
42%
Strike Accuracy
44%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.4
6 KOs
KO Finishes
10 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
7
0
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance8
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Evans
Bisping
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Evans
Bisping
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
2
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/27 fights
Chin rating based on
29/39 fights
Evans
Bisping
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
100
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
Evans
Bisping
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
50%
6
KO / TKO Wins
10
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
10

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Evans
Bisping
Striking5.6 / 6.4Volume5.8 / 5.4Grappling1.4 / 1.2Wrestling1.0 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.9 / 5.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.4
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.4
Evans
Strike Zones
Bisping
Evans
Attacking
9HEAD0BODY0LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD3BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Bisping
Attacking
7HEAD3BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD0BODY0LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Evans targets the head (100% of attacks) — Bisping absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Bisping targets the head (70% of attacks) — Evans absorbs 70% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Evans
RND
Bisping
0/0R00/0

Evans · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W4.5W4.5W5.2W5.2W4.5W5.2W5.2W2.1L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W7.3L5.5L4.5W5.0W5.5L1.9L5.5L5.5L2.7L2005-112008-092012-012016-042018-06
WinLossTrend

Bisping · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.2W5.0W5.2W4.5W5.5L5.0W5.0W4.5W2.8L5.2W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.2W5.2W5.5L4.5W2.1L4.5W5.5L5.4W2.1L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.0W4.5W2.8L1.8L2006-062009-072012-092016-022017-11
WinLossTrend

Evans · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Anthony SmithRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
L · KO · R1
Glover TeixeiraRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans · 2016-04
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10

Bisping · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Kelvin GastelumRating 1.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · 2017-11
L · Sub · R3
Georges St-PierreRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
W · Dec · R5
Dan HendersonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · KO · R1
Luke RockholdRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06
W · Dec · R5
Anderson SilvaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02

News & Media

Rashad Evans · Michael Bisping
← Back to fights