METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov
Albany, USA
9 Dec 2016
Middleweight
VS
68%
Sanchez
32%
Smith
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Andrew SanchezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Trevor Smith · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Sanchez
→
Actual result
Sanchez wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Sanchez holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Smith has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Sanchez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.
Striking split: Sanchez throws more volume but Smith connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Sanchez's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Smith has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SanchezSmith
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Sanchez
Smith
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
74"
Reach
+75"
38+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sanchez
Smith
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.1
10.9
48.2
Performance Avg
31.7
47
Quality of Victory
25
43
Momentum Score
45
Sanchez
Smith
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
1.1
45%
Strike Accuracy
53%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
10
3
Body
6
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
18Distance13
3Clinch7
0Ground1
Sanchez
Smith
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Sanchez
Smith
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
26
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/20 fights
Chin rating based on
12/25 fights
Sanchez
Smith
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
45
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Sanchez
Smith
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sanchez
Smith
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.3
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
SanchezSmith
Strike Zones
Sanchez
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedSmith
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sanchez targets the head (81% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Smith targets the head (48% of attacks) — Sanchez absorbs 48% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sanchez
RND
Smith
0/0R00/0
Sanchez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Smith · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Sanchez · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Bruno SilvaRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · 2021-10
L · KO · R3
Makhmud MuradovRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
W · KO · R1
Wellington TurmanRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Marvin VettoriRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
Smith · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Makhmud MuradovRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
L · Dec · R3
Zak CummingsRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Elias TheodorouRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Chris CamozziRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
L · Dec · R3
Andrew SanchezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · 2016-12