METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum
Las Vegas, USA
17 Apr 2021
Women's Flyweight
VS
79%
Cortez
21%
Kish
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Tracy CortezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Justine Kish · UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cortez
→
Actual result
Cortez wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Cortez is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CortezKish
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cortez
Kish
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
65"+
Reach
64"
32+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cortez
Kish
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.3
11.5
41.9
Performance Avg
32.1
25
Quality of Victory
25
50
Momentum Score
30
Cortez
Kish
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
2.0
Style: Pressure
1.3
9.3
Style: Volume
8.9
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
12
9
Body
4
2
Leg
5
RangeRange
17Distance19
2Clinch1
5Ground1
Cortez
Kish
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cortez
Kish
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
82
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/15 fights
Chin rating based on
7/11 fights
Cortez
Kish
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
30
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Cortez
Kish
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cortez
Kish
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.3
9.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.9
CortezKish
Strike Zones
Cortez
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedKish
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cortez targets the head (54% of attacks) — Kish absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Kish targets the head (57% of attacks) — Cortez absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cortez
RND
Kish
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Cortez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Wang CongDecision
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L · Sub · R2
Erin BlanchfieldSubmission
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W · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoDecision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Dec · R5
Rose NamajunasDecision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Jasmine JasudaviciusDecision
Noche UFC: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
Kish · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tracy CortezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · 2021-04
L · Sub · R3
Sabina MazoSubmission
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W · Dec · R3
Lucie PudilovaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · Dec · R3
Ji Yeon KimDecision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01
L · Dec · R3
Felice HerrigDecision
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