METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum
Las Vegas, USA
21 Aug 2021
Flyweight
VS
55%
Pantoja
45%
Royval
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:46
★ Official Result
Alexandre PantojawinsSubmissionR2 · 1:46
def. Brandon Royval · UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pantoja
→
Actual result
Pantoja wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Pantoja at 55% vs Royval at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Royval throws more volume but Pantoja connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Royval has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PantojaRoyval
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pantoja
Royval
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'9"
67"
Reach
+68"
36
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Pantoja
Royval
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.7
50.3
60.2
Performance Avg
48.2
49
Quality of Victory
42
65
Momentum Score
62
Pantoja
Royval
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
2.1
49%
Strike Accuracy
43%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.6
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
3
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Pantoja
Royval
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
4.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.5
3.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pantoja
Royval
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
40
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/36 fights
Chin rating based on
13/26 fights
Pantoja
Royval
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
62
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Pantoja
Royval
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
57%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
6
Submission Wins
3
6
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pantoja
Royval
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.6
4.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.5
3.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.1
4.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.3
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
PantojaRoyval
Strike Zones
Pantoja
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedRoyval
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pantoja targets the head (78% of attacks) — Royval absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Royval targets the head (100% of attacks) — Pantoja absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pantoja
RND
Royval
0/0R00/0
Pantoja · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Royval · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Pantoja · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Joshua VanRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Sub · R3
Kai Kara-FranceRating 6.1Submission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Sub · R2
Kai AsakuraRating 5.1Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R5
Steve ErcegRating 5.1Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · Dec · R5
Brandon RoyvalRating 5.3Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
Royval · Last 5
Upcoming
Lone'er KavanaghUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · KO · R1
Manel KapeRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Joshua VanRating 7.1Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Tatsuro TairaRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
W · Dec · R5
Brandon MorenoRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02