The Ultimate Fighter: Live Finale
Las Vegas, USA
1 Jun 2012
Featherweight
VS
25%
Brookins
75%
Oliveira
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:42
CFR 63
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Oliveira
Oliveira is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Brookins has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.
Striking split: Brookins throws more volume but Oliveira connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Oliveira has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Brookins
Oliveira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
74"
Reach
74"
40
Age
+36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Brookins
Oliveira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.5
63.3
64.0
Performance Avg
58.6
80
Quality of Victory
51
45
Momentum Score
100
Brookins
Oliveira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.1
44%
Strike Accuracy
53%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
5
0
Body
3
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance7
0Clinch1
0Ground1
Brookins
Oliveira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.8
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Brookins
Oliveira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
0
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
5
2
Sub Losses
4
—
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/26 fights
Chin rating based on
37/48 fights
Brookins
Oliveira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
Brookins
Oliveira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
84%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
17
1
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brookins
Oliveira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.8
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.8
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.7
BrookinsOliveira
Strike Zones
Brookins
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedOliveira
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brookins targets the head (88% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Oliveira targets the head (56% of attacks) — Brookins absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brookins
RND
Oliveira
0/0R00/0
Brookins · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Oliveira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Brookins · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Dustin PoirierRating 2.8Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale · 2012-12
L · Sub · R2
Charles OliveiraRating 4.2Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Live Finale · 2012-06
W · KO · R1
Vagner RochaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger · 2012-02
L · Dec · R3
Erik KochRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09
W · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonRating 4.6Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale · 2010-12
Oliveira · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Max HollowayRating 5.6Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Sub · R2
Mateusz GamrotRating 6.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Ilia TopuriaRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Michael ChandlerRating 5.3Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Arman TsarukyanRating 7.1Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04