METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott
Winnipeg, Canada
18 Apr 2026
Women's Flyweight
VS
49%
Aldrich
51%
Horth
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
JJ AldrichwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jamey-Lyn Horth · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Horth
→
Actual result
Aldrich wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Aldrich at 49% vs Horth at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Aldrich's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AldrichHorth
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Aldrich
Horth
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'7"
67"+
Reach
66"
33+
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Aldrich
Horth
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.4
48.4
42.5
Performance Avg
43.1
28
Quality of Victory
34
80
Momentum Score
60
Aldrich
Horth
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
2.6
Style: Pressure
3.5
8.6
Style: Volume
7.1
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
10
3
Body
12
5
Leg
6
RangeRange
27Distance28
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Aldrich
Horth
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Aldrich
Horth
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
13 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/22 fights
Chin rating based on
8/12 fights
Aldrich
Horth
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
60
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Aldrich
Horth
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
9%
25%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Aldrich
Horth
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
8.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
AldrichHorth
Strike Zones
Aldrich
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedHorth
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Aldrich targets the head (70% of attacks) — Horth absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Horth targets the body (43% of attacks) — Aldrich absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Aldrich
RND
Horth
0/0R00/0
Aldrich · Last 5
Upcoming
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Horth · Last 5
Upcoming
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