UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott
Winnipeg, Canada
18 Apr 2026
Women's Flyweight
VS
49%
Aldrich
51%
Horth
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JJ
JJ Aldrich
15 – 7
5'5"67" reachSouthpaw33 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 47
Jamey-Lyn
Jamey-Lyn Horth
9 – 3
Well-Rounded36 yrsOrthodox66" reach5'7"
CFR 48

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Horth

This is a genuine toss-up — Aldrich at 49% vs Horth at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Aldrich throws more volume but Horth connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Aldrich's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Aldrich
Horth
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'7"
67"+
Reach
66"
33+
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Aldrich
Horth
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.4
48.4
42.5
Performance Avg
43.1
28
Quality of Victory
34
80
Momentum Score
60
Aldrich
Horth
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.6
48%
Strike Accuracy
49%
2.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
10
3
Body
12
5
Leg
6
RangeRange
27Distance28
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Aldrich
Horth
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Aldrich
Horth
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
12 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/22 fights
Chin rating based on
7/12 fights
Aldrich
Horth
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
60
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Aldrich
Horth
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
9%
25%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Aldrich
Horth
Striking2.2 / 3.6Volume8.6 / 7.1Grappling2.2 / 1.8Wrestling1.5 / 1.3Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure2.6 / 3.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
8.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
Aldrich
Strike Zones
Horth
Aldrich
Attacking
19HEAD3BODY5LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD12BODY6LEGS28 absorbed
Horth
Attacking
10HEAD12BODY6LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD3BODY5LEGS27 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Aldrich targets the head (70% of attacks) — Horth absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Horth targets the body (43% of attacks) — Aldrich absorbs 43% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Aldrich
RND
Horth
0/0R00/0

Aldrich · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5L4.5W4.5W4.8W3.7L4.5W5.5L4.5W4.7W5.7W4.3L5.5L5.2W5.5W5.8L4.9W5.2W2016-122019-102022-062025-032026-04
WinLossTrend

Horth · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.5W5.8L4.9W6.3L4.7W5.0W6.1L2023-042024-112025-062026-04
WinLossTrend

Aldrich · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Jamey-Lyn HorthRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Andrea LeeRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Veronica HardyRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Montana De La RosaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10
W · KO · R2
Liang NaRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08

Horth · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
JJ AldrichRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
W · KO · R1
Tereza BledaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Vanessa DemopoulosRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Miranda MaverickRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Ivana PetrovicRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11

News & Media

JJ Aldrich · Jamey-Lyn Horth
← Back to fights