METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan
Las Vegas, USA
1 Aug 2020
Middleweight
VS
39%
Brunson
61%
Shahbazyan
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:26
CFR 63
★ Official Result
Derek BrunsonwinsKO/TKOR3 · 0:26
def. Edmen Shahbazyan · UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Shahbazyan
→
Actual result
Brunson wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Shahbazyan holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Brunson has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Brunson throws more volume but Shahbazyan connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Brunson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Shahbazyan has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BrunsonShahbazyan
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Brunson
Shahbazyan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
77"+
Reach
75"
42
Age
+28
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Brunson
Shahbazyan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.2
63.1
54.7
Performance Avg
56.3
47
Quality of Victory
51
72
Momentum Score
100
Brunson
Shahbazyan
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
1.6
44%
Strike Accuracy
48%
6.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.0
7 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Brunson
Shahbazyan
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Brunson
Shahbazyan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
20
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
6
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/32 fights
Chin rating based on
15/21 fights
Brunson
Shahbazyan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Brunson
Shahbazyan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
78%
7
KO / TKO Wins
6
2
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brunson
Shahbazyan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.0
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
BrunsonShahbazyan
Strike Zones
Brunson
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedShahbazyan
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brunson targets the head (80% of attacks) — Shahbazyan absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brunson
RND
Shahbazyan
0/0R00/0
Brunson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Shahbazyan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Brunson · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Dricus Du PlessisRating 4.7KO/TKO
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
L · KO · R2
Jared CannonierRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
W · Sub · R3
Darren TillRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · 2021-09
W · Dec · R5
Kevin HollandRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · 2021-03
W · KO · R3
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 6.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan · 2020-08
Shahbazyan · Last 5
Upcoming
Brendan AllenUFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Andre MunizRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Andre PetroskiRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · KO · R1
Dylan BudkaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Sub · R2
Gerald MeerschaertRating 3.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08