UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno
Mexico City, Mexico
5 Aug 2017
Bantamweight
VS
43%
Quinonez
57%
Rivas
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Rivas
This is a genuine toss-up — Quinonez at 43% vs Rivas at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Quinonez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Quinonez's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Quinonez
Rivas
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
69"
Reach
69"
35
Age
+34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Quinonez
Rivas
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.2
17.7
40.7
Performance Avg
44.0
31
Quality of Victory
40
38
Momentum Score
57
Quinonez
Rivas
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.7
50%
Strike Accuracy
41%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
6
2
Body
1
5
Leg
0
RangeRange
18Distance6
0Clinch0
3Ground1
Quinonez
Rivas
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Quinonez
Rivas
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
96
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/14 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Quinonez
Rivas
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
38
57
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Quinonez
Rivas
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Quinonez
Rivas
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
7.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
QuinonezRivas
Strike Zones
Quinonez
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedRivas
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Quinonez targets the head (67% of attacks) — Rivas absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Rivas targets the head (86% of attacks) — Quinonez absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Quinonez
RND
Rivas
0/0R00/0
Quinonez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Rivas · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Quinonez · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Louis SmolkaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · KO · R1
Sean O'MalleyRating 3KO/TKO
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · 2020-03
W · Dec · R3
Carlos HuachinRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · 2019-09
L · Sub · R2
Nathaniel WoodRating 3.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Teruto IshiharaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
Rivas · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Guido CannettiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman · 2018-05
L · Dec · R3
Jose QuinonezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
W · KO · R2
Noad LahatRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
W · Dec · R3
Rodolfo Rubio PerezRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs Saint Preux · 2014-11