UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites
Glasgow, United Kingdom
18 Jul 2015
Lightweight
VS
51%
Pearson
49%
Dunham
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pearson
This is a genuine toss-up — Pearson at 51% vs Dunham at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Pearson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Striking split: Dunham throws more volume but Pearson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Pearson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Dunham has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Pearson
Dunham
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
69"
Reach
+70"
41+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Pearson
Dunham
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.0
16.2
44.3
Performance Avg
40.1
42
Quality of Victory
30
89
Momentum Score
100
Pearson
Dunham
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
2.5
44%
Strike Accuracy
41%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
6
4
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance5
8Clinch2
0Ground0
Pearson
Dunham
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.4
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.9
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pearson
Dunham
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/36 fights
Chin rating based on
21/27 fights
Pearson
Dunham
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Pearson
Dunham
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
18%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pearson
Dunham
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.9
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
PearsonDunham
Strike Zones
Pearson
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedDunham
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pearson targets the head (50% of attacks) — Dunham absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Dunham targets the head (86% of attacks) — Pearson absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pearson
RND
Dunham
0/0R00/0
Pearson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Dunham · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Pearson · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Desmond GreenRating 1.5KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
John MakdessiRating 5.5Decision
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L · KO · R2
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Dunham · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Herbert BurnsRating 1.9Submission
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
L · KO · R2
Francisco TrinaldoRating 2.8KO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
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Upcoming
Beneil DariushDecision
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Ricky GlennRating 4.6Decision
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