UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2
Las Vegas, USA
6 Apr 2024
Welterweight
VS
53%
McGee
47%
Morono
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: McGee
This is a genuine toss-up — McGee at 53% vs Morono at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Morono has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
McGee's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Morono has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.
McGee
Morono
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
75"+
Reach
72"
41
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
McGee
Morono
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.7
35.0
40.1
Performance Avg
43.3
36
Quality of Victory
35
50
Momentum Score
20
McGee
Morono
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
2.0
39%
Strike Accuracy
41%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
12
8
Body
4
6
Leg
1
RangeRange
18Distance17
0Clinch0
0Ground0
McGee
Morono
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
McGee
Morono
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
20
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/37 fights
Chin rating based on
24/37 fights
McGee
Morono
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
20
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
McGee
Morono
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
27%
31%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
2
8
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McGee
Morono
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.5
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
McGeeMorono
Strike Zones
McGee
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedMorono
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McGee targets the body (44% of attacks) — Morono absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Morono targets the head (71% of attacks) — McGee absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McGee
RND
Morono
0/0R00/0
McGee · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Morono · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
McGee · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Michael ChiesaRating 6.3Decision
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W · Sub · R1
Tim MeansRating 5.1Submission
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L · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 5.5Decision
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L · KO · R1
Matt BrownRating 1.9KO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
Jeremiah WellsRating 2.9KO/TKO
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Morono · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Daniil DonchenkoRating 7.8Decision
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L · KO · R1
Carlos LealRating 2.3KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4Decision
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L · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04