UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik
Saint Petersburg, Russia
20 Apr 2019
Heavyweight
VS
64%
Tybura
36%
Abdurakhimov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:15
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Tybura
Tybura holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Abdurakhimov has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Tybura has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Tybura's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Abdurakhimov has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Tybura
Abdurakhimov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
78"+
Reach
76"
40+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tybura
Abdurakhimov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.5
24.1
45.2
Performance Avg
41.0
37
Quality of Victory
38
58
Momentum Score
15
Tybura
Abdurakhimov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.1
53%
Strike Accuracy
46%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.9
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
13
4
Body
4
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
12Distance12
2Clinch5
0Ground0
Tybura
Abdurakhimov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.4
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Tybura
Abdurakhimov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
4 consec. KOs
5
KO/TKO Losses
6
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/38 fights
Chin rating based on
11/28 fights
Tybura
Abdurakhimov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
15
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Tybura
Abdurakhimov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
36%
40%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tybura
Abdurakhimov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
TyburaAbdurakhimov
Strike Zones
Tybura
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedAbdurakhimov
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tybura targets the head (50% of attacks) — Abdurakhimov absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Abdurakhimov targets the head (76% of attacks) — Tybura absorbs 76% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tybura
RND
Abdurakhimov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Tybura · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Abdurakhimov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Tybura · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tyrell FortuneRating 6.8Decision
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L · KO · R1
Ante DelijaRating 2.5KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Mick ParkinRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · R2
Jhonata DinizRating 5.1UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Sub · R1
Serghei SpivacRating 2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
Abdurakhimov · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Jailton AlmeidaRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · KO · R1
Sergei PavlovichRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Chris DaukausRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · KO · R2
Curtis BlaydesRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · KO · R2
Marcin TyburaRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04
