METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo
Norfolk, USA
29 Feb 2020
Featherweight
VS
8%
Cruz
92%
Carlyle
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:25
★ Official Result
Spike CarlylewinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:25
def. Aalon Cruz · UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Carlyle
→
Actual result
Carlyle wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Carlyle is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Carlyle has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 60 points.
Carlyle has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Cruz's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CruzCarlyle
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cruz
Carlyle
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'8"
78"+
Reach
71"
36
Age
+33
Switch
Stance
Switch
Cruz
Carlyle
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
1.6
19.2
0.0
Performance Avg
49.3
0
Quality of Victory
60
0
Momentum Score
35
Cruz
Carlyle
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.4
1.1
13%
Strike Accuracy
58%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
19
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch4
0Ground14
Cruz
Carlyle
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cruz
Carlyle
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
96
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/12 fights
Chin rating based on
3/12 fights
Cruz
Carlyle
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
35
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Cruz
Carlyle
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cruz
Carlyle
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
CruzCarlyle
Strike Zones
Cruz
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedCarlyle
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cruz targets the head (100% of attacks) — Carlyle absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Carlyle targets the head (95% of attacks) — Cruz absorbs 95% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cruz
RND
Carlyle
0/0R00/0
Cruz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.4WinLossTrend
Carlyle · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Cruz · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Uros MedicRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · KO · R1
Spike CarlyleRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02
Carlyle · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Bill AlgeoRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark · 2020-11
L · Dec · R3
Billy QuarantilloRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05
W · KO · R1
Aalon CruzRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02