UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo
Norfolk, USA
29 Feb 2020
Featherweight
VS
8%
Cruz
92%
Carlyle
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:25
Aalon
Aalon Cruz
8 – 4
6'0"78" reachSwitch36 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 2
SC
Spike Carlyle
"Alpha Ginger"
9 – 3
Knockout Artist2-fight slide33 yrsSwitch71" reach5'8"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Carlyle

Carlyle is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Carlyle has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 60 points.

Carlyle has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Cruz's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Cruz
Carlyle
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'8"
78"+
Reach
71"
36
Age
+33
Switch
Stance
Switch
Cruz
Carlyle
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
1.6
19.2
0.0
Performance Avg
49.3
0
Quality of Victory
60
0
Momentum Score
35
Cruz
Carlyle
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.4
1.1
13%
Strike Accuracy
58%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
19
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch4
0Ground14
Cruz
Carlyle
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cruz
Carlyle
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
96
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/12 fights
Chin rating based on
3/12 fights
Cruz
Carlyle
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
35
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Cruz
Carlyle
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cruz
Carlyle
Striking0.0 / 10.0Volume0.0 / 0.7Grappling0.0 / 0.0Wrestling0.0 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.0 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Cruz
Strike Zones
Carlyle
Cruz
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD0BODY1LEGS20 absorbed
Carlyle
Attacking
19HEAD0BODY1LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cruz targets the head (100% of attacks) — Carlyle absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Carlyle targets the head (95% of attacks) — Cruz absorbs 95% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cruz
RND
Carlyle
0/0R00/0

Cruz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.4
0101.5L3.3L2020-022021-03
WinLossTrend

Carlyle · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0105.0W6.7L5.7L2020-022020-052020-11
WinLossTrend

Cruz · Last 2

L · KO · R1
Uros MedicRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · KO · R1
Spike CarlyleRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02

Carlyle · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Bill AlgeoRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark · 2020-11
L · Dec · R3
Billy QuarantilloRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05
W · KO · R1
Aalon CruzRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02

News & Media

Aalon Cruz · Spike Carlyle
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