UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz
Montreal, Canada
16 Mar 2013
Lightweight
VS
66%
Makdessi
34%
Cruickshank
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
DC
CFR 16
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Makdessi
Makdessi holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Cruickshank has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Makdessi has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Makdessi's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Cruickshank has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Makdessi
Cruickshank
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
68"
Reach
+72"
41
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Makdessi
Cruickshank
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
30.9
15.9
42.2
Performance Avg
44.5
34
Quality of Victory
41
51
Momentum Score
48
Makdessi
Cruickshank
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
1.0
51%
Strike Accuracy
37%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
35
Head
12
8
Body
1
4
Leg
3
RangeRange
46Distance15
1Clinch0
0Ground1
Makdessi
Cruickshank
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Makdessi
Cruickshank
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
48
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/27 fights
Chin rating based on
13/28 fights
Makdessi
Cruickshank
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
48
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Makdessi
Cruickshank
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
27%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Makdessi
Cruickshank
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
MakdessiCruickshank
Strike Zones
Makdessi
Attacking
47 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedCruickshank
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
47 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Makdessi targets the head (74% of attacks) — Cruickshank absorbs 74% of strikes there
🎯Cruickshank targets the head (75% of attacks) — Makdessi absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Makdessi
RND
Cruickshank
0/0R00/0
Makdessi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Cruickshank · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Makdessi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jamie MullarkeyRating 5.7Decision
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L · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
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UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03
Cruickshank · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Paul FelderRating 4Submission
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L · Sub · R1
James KrauseRating 1.5Submission
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L · Sub · R2
Beneil DariushRating 3.7Submission
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos · 2015-03
Upcoming
KJ NoonsThe Ultimate Fighter: A Champion Will Be Crowned Finale · 2014-12
W · Dec · R3
Anthony NjokuaniRating 4.5Decision
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