UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch
Broomfield, USA
14 Feb 2015
Welterweight
VS
71%
Magny
29%
Kunimoto
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 1:22
Neil
Neil Magny
"The Haitian Sensation"
31 – 15
6'3"80" reachOrthodox38 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 48
KK
Kiichi Kunimoto
"Strasser"
18 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'10"
CFR 20

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Magny

Magny is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Magny throws more volume but Kunimoto connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Magny's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Magny
Kunimoto
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'10"
80"+
Reach
71"
38+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Magny
Kunimoto
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.5
19.7
47.4
Performance Avg
45.8
36
Quality of Victory
36
75
Momentum Score
92
Magny
Kunimoto
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
0.8
50%
Strike Accuracy
56%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
7 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance2
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Magny
Kunimoto
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Magny
Kunimoto
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
86
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
6
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
37/46 fights
Chin rating based on
5/25 fights
Magny
Kunimoto
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
92
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · R1
Magny
Kunimoto
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
42%
33%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
1
14
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Magny
Kunimoto
Striking4.2 / 1.2Volume6.0 / 3.9Grappling2.4 / 3.5Wrestling1.7 / 2.4Submission1.3 / 3.3Pressure4.9 / 4.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.9
Magny
Strike Zones
Kunimoto
Magny
Attacking
13HEAD0BODY0LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Kunimoto
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD0BODY0LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Magny targets the head (100% of attacks) — Kunimoto absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Kunimoto targets the head (100% of attacks) — Magny absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Magny
RND
Kunimoto
0/0R00/0

Magny · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W1.5L5.5L4.5W4.6W5.2W4.5W5.5W5.5W5.2W2.8L4.5W4.8W5.5W1.5L4.5W1.7L4.5W5.0W3.9L5.3W4.5W4.8W6.3L5.5W5.1W4.8L6.4W1.7L5.6W7.0L7.3W3.6L3.7L5.8W6.5W3.7L2013-022015-082020-032023-082025-12
WinLossTrend

Kunimoto · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.0W5.0W4.5W4.6L5.5L2014-012014-062014-092015-022017-06
WinLossTrend

Magny · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Yaroslav AmosovRating 3.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · Sub · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · KO · R2
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Carlos PratesRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · KO · R1
Michael MoralesRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08

Kunimoto · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Zak OttowRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
L · Sub · R3
Neil MagnyRating 4.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
W · Dec · R3
Richard WalshRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson · 2014-09
W · Sub · R1
Daniel SarafianRating 5
Submission
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06
W · R1
Luiz DutraRating 4
UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs Lim · 2014-01

News & Media

Neil Magny · Kiichi Kunimoto
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