METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
Las Vegas, USA
5 Mar 2016
Light Heavyweight
VS
49%
Anderson
51%
Lawlor
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CA
Corey Anderson
"Overtime"
145
6'3"79" reachOrthodox36 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 19
TL
Tom Lawlor
"Filthy"
106
Well-Rounded43 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'0"
CFR 20
★ Official Result
Corey AndersonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Tom Lawlor · UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lawlor
Actual result
Anderson wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Anderson at 49% vs Lawlor at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Anderson's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
AndersonLawlor
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Anderson
Lawlor
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
79"+
Reach
74"
36+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Anderson
Lawlor
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.8
19.8
50.1
Performance Avg
48.7
39
Quality of Victory
45
98
Momentum Score
75
Anderson
Lawlor
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
4.4
/ 10
4.1
Style: Pressure
6.3
6.9
Style: Volume
3.8
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
2
3
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance2
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Anderson
Lawlor
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Anderson
Lawlor
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
70
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
15/19 fights
Chin rating based on
11/16 fights
Anderson
Lawlor
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
75
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Anderson
Lawlor
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
67%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
2
7
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Anderson
Lawlor
Striking4.3 / 4.4Volume6.9 / 3.8Grappling1.7 / 3.5Wrestling1.2 / 2.4Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure4.1 / 6.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
Anderson
Strike Zones
Lawlor
Anderson
Attacking
6HEAD3BODY2LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Lawlor
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD3BODY2LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Anderson targets the head (55% of attacks) — Lawlor absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Lawlor targets the head (100% of attacks) — Anderson absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Anderson
RND
Lawlor
0/0R00/0

Anderson · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Jan Blachowicz
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
W · KO · R1
Johnny Walker
KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
W · Dec · R3
Ilir Latifi
Decision
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Glover Teixeira
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Patrick Cummins
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04

Lawlor · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Corey Anderson
Decision
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 2016-03
W · KO · R2
Gian Villante
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
W · Sub · R2
Michael Kuiper
Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Latifi · 2013-04
L · Dec · R3
Francis Carmont
Decision
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
W · KO · R1
Jason MacDonald
KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier · 2012-05

News & Media

Corey Anderson · Tom Lawlor
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