UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
Las Vegas, USA
5 Mar 2016
Light Heavyweight
VS
49%
Anderson
51%
Lawlor
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CA
Corey Anderson
"Overtime"
14 – 5
6'3"79" reachOrthodox36 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 19
TL
Tom Lawlor
"Filthy"
10 – 6
Well-Rounded43 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'0"
CFR 20

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lawlor

This is a genuine toss-up — Anderson at 49% vs Lawlor at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Anderson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Anderson's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Anderson
Lawlor
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
79"+
Reach
74"
36+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Anderson
Lawlor
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.8
19.8
50.1
Performance Avg
48.7
39
Quality of Victory
45
98
Momentum Score
75
Anderson
Lawlor
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.5
47%
Strike Accuracy
36%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
3 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
2
3
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance2
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Anderson
Lawlor
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.7
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Anderson
Lawlor
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
70
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/19 fights
Chin rating based on
11/16 fights
Anderson
Lawlor
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
75
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Anderson
Lawlor
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
67%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
2
7
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Anderson
Lawlor
Striking4.3 / 4.4Volume6.9 / 3.8Grappling1.7 / 3.5Wrestling1.2 / 2.4Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure4.1 / 6.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
Anderson
Strike Zones
Lawlor
Anderson
Attacking
6HEAD3BODY2LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Lawlor
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD3BODY2LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Anderson targets the head (55% of attacks) — Lawlor absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Lawlor targets the head (100% of attacks) — Anderson absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Anderson
RND
Lawlor
0/0R00/0

Anderson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.0W4.5W4.0L5.1W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.2W1.5L4.6L4.5W4.9W4.5W5.8W2.1L2014-072015-112017-032018-122020-02
WinLossTrend

Lawlor · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.5W5.0W5.5L2.8L4.5W2.3L5.0W5.5L5.2W5.2W5.5L2008-122010-052012-052015-072016-03
WinLossTrend

Anderson · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Jan BlachowiczRating 2.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
W · KO · R1
Johnny WalkerRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
W · Dec · R3
Ilir LatifiRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Glover TeixeiraRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Patrick CumminsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04

Lawlor · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Corey AndersonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 2016-03
W · KO · R2
Gian VillanteRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
W · Sub · R2
Michael KuiperRating 5.2
Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Latifi · 2013-04
L · Dec · R3
Francis CarmontRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
W · KO · R1
Jason MacDonaldRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier · 2012-05

News & Media

Corey Anderson · Tom Lawlor
← Back to fights