METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
14 Jan 2012
Featherweight
VS
66%
Alcantara
34%
Omigawa
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Iuri AlcantarawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Michihiro Omigawa · UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Alcantara
→
Actual result
Alcantara wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Alcantara holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Omigawa has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Alcantara has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Risk flags
Alcantara's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AlcantaraOmigawa
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Alcantara
Omigawa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'6"
71"+
Reach
68"
46+
Age
50
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Alcantara
Omigawa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.9
8.7
48.0
Performance Avg
20.7
41
Quality of Victory
25
49
Momentum Score
20
Alcantara
Omigawa
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
0.3
/ 10
5.3
Style: Pressure
0.4
5.2
Style: Volume
8.3
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
12
3
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
20Distance13
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Alcantara
Omigawa
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.8
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Alcantara
Omigawa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
88
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/45 fights
Chin rating based on
7/31 fights
Alcantara
Omigawa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
20
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Alcantara
Omigawa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Alcantara
Omigawa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.3
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.4
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.3
AlcantaraOmigawa
Strike Zones
Alcantara
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedOmigawa
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Alcantara targets the head (85% of attacks) — Omigawa absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Omigawa targets the head (86% of attacks) — Alcantara absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Alcantara
RND
Omigawa
0/0R00/0
Alcantara · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Cory SandhagenKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · KO · R1
Joe SotoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
L · Dec · R3
Alejandro PerezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
L · Sub · R1
Brian KelleherSubmission
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
W · Sub · R2
Luke SandersSubmission
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
Omigawa · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Manvel GamburyanDecision
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera · 2012-08
L · Dec · R3
Iuri AlcantaraDecision
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes · 2012-01
W · Dec · R3
Jason YoungDecision
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11
L · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsDecision
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Chad MendesDecision
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort · 2011-02