METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
14 Jan 2012
Featherweight
VS
66%
Alcantara
34%
Omigawa
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Iuri AlcantarawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Michihiro Omigawa · UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Alcantara
→
Actual result
Alcantara wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Alcantara holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Omigawa has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Alcantara has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Alcantara has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Alcantara's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AlcantaraOmigawa
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Alcantara
Omigawa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'6"
71"+
Reach
68"
45+
Age
50
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Alcantara
Omigawa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.9
8.7
48.0
Performance Avg
20.7
41
Quality of Victory
25
49
Momentum Score
20
Alcantara
Omigawa
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
0.7
46%
Strike Accuracy
44%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.3
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
12
3
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
20Distance13
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Alcantara
Omigawa
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Alcantara
Omigawa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
88
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/45 fights
Chin rating based on
7/31 fights
Alcantara
Omigawa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
20
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Alcantara
Omigawa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Alcantara
Omigawa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.3
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.4
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.3
AlcantaraOmigawa
Strike Zones
Alcantara
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedOmigawa
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Alcantara targets the head (85% of attacks) — Omigawa absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Omigawa targets the head (86% of attacks) — Alcantara absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Alcantara
RND
Omigawa
0/0R00/0
Alcantara · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Omigawa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Alcantara · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Cory SandhagenRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · KO · R1
Joe SotoRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
L · Dec · R3
Alejandro PerezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
L · Sub · R1
Brian KelleherRating 1.8Submission
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
W · Sub · R2
Luke SandersRating 5.2Submission
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
Omigawa · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Manvel GamburyanRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera · 2012-08
L · Dec · R3
Iuri AlcantaraRating 5.5Decision
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes · 2012-01
W · Dec · R3
Jason YoungRating 4.5Decision
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11
L · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6Decision
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Chad MendesRating 5.5Decision
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort · 2011-02