UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas
Fairfax, USA
4 Apr 2015
Featherweight
VS
69%
Guida
31%
Peralta
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Clay
Clay Guida
"The Carpenter"
38 – 22
5'7"70" reachOrthodox44 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 44
RP
Robert Peralta
"Problems"
18 – 8
Well-Rounded2-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'8"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Guida

Guida holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Peralta has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Guida throws more volume but Peralta connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Guida's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Guida
Peralta
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
70"
Reach
+71"
44
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Guida
Peralta
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.2
19.4
40.7
Performance Avg
46.9
35
Quality of Victory
40
78
Momentum Score
77
Guida
Peralta
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.9
36%
Strike Accuracy
41%
2.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
5
5
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance5
1Clinch2
5Ground0
Guida
Peralta
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Guida
Peralta
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
84
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
8
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
14 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
37/60 fights
Chin rating based on
8/26 fights
Guida
Peralta
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
77
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Guida
Peralta
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
5
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Guida
Peralta
Striking2.1 / 6.1Volume5.9 / 5.1Grappling3.7 / 1.2Wrestling2.6 / 0.8Submission2.8 / 0.0Pressure4.2 / 5.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
2.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
Guida
Strike Zones
Peralta
Guida
Attacking
3HEAD5BODY1LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY1LEGS7 absorbed
Peralta
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY1LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD5BODY1LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Guida targets the body (56% of attacks) — Peralta absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Peralta targets the head (71% of attacks) — Guida absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Guida
RND
Peralta
0/0R00/0

Guida · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.2W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.0L5.0W4.5W4.5W5.5L2.8L5.2W5.7W5.2W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.0L4.5W2.8L4.5W1.5L5.4L4.5W5.0W2.9L4.5W1.9L6.2L4.6W5.7L5.3W2.4L4.5W6.3L6.1L2.3L2006-102010-032015-042021-082024-12
WinLossTrend

Peralta · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.5W5.0W5.5L5.5W4.5W1.5L6.0L2011-092013-042014-052015-04
WinLossTrend

Guida · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Chase HooperRating 2.3
Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Joaquim SilvaRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Rafa GarciaRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
W · Dec · R3
Scott HoltzmanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · Sub · R1
Claudio PuellesRating 2.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04

Peralta · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas · 2015-04
L · Sub · R1
Thiago TavaresRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux · 2014-08
W · Dec · R3
Rony JasonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
W · KO · R3
Estevan PayanRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · 2013-12
L · Dec · R3
Akira CorassaniRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Latifi · 2013-04

News & Media

Clay Guida · Robert Peralta
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