METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark
Las Vegas, USA
28 Nov 2020
Bantamweight
VS
10%
Day
90%
Santos
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:35
★ Official Result
Anderson Dos SantoswinsSubmissionR1 · 4:35
def. Martin Day · UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Santos
→
Actual result
Santos wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Santos is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Santos has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 54 points.
Risk flags
Day's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DaySantos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Day
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'5"
73"+
Reach
70"
37+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Day
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
1.7
16.1
0.0
Performance Avg
42.4
0
Quality of Victory
54
0
Momentum Score
22
Day
Santos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
0.0
Style: Pressure
7.8
0.0
Style: Volume
0.5
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
5
3
Body
2
3
Leg
4
RangeRange
9Distance8
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Day
Santos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Day
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
74
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/14 fights
Chin rating based on
4/30 fights
Day
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
22
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Day
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Day
Santos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
DaySantos
Strike Zones
Day
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedSantos
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Day targets the head (33% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 33% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (45% of attacks) — Day absorbs 45% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Day
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
Day · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Timur ValievDecision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
L · Sub · R1
Anderson Dos SantosSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark · 2020-11
L · KO · R3
Davey GrantKO/TKO
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
L · Dec · R3
Pingyuan LiuDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2 · 2018-11
Santos · Last 4
L · KO · R3
Miles JohnsKO/TKO
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · 2021-08
W · Sub · R1
Martin DaySubmission
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark · 2020-11
L · Dec · R3
Andre EwellDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-06
L · Dec · R3
Nad NarimaniDecision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11