UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark
Las Vegas, USA
28 Nov 2020
Bantamweight
VS
6%
Day
94%
Santos
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:35
MD
Martin Day
"The Spartan"
8 – 6
5'10"73" reachOrthodox37 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 2
AD
Anderson Dos Santos
"Berinja"
21 – 9
Submission Hunter40 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'5"
CFR 25

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Santos

Santos is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Santos has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 54 points.

Day has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Day's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Day
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'5"
73"+
Reach
70"
37+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Day
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
1.7
25.3
0.0
Performance Avg
42.4
0
Quality of Victory
54
0
Momentum Score
22
Day
Santos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.1
54%
Strike Accuracy
34%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
5
3
Body
2
3
Leg
4
RangeRange
9Distance8
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Day
Santos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Day
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
74
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/14 fights
Chin rating based on
4/30 fights
Day
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
22
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Day
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Day
Santos
Striking0.0 / 0.5Volume0.0 / 0.5Grappling0.0 / 8.0Wrestling0.0 / 5.6Submission0.0 / 10.0Pressure0.0 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
Day
Strike Zones
Santos
Day
Attacking
3HEAD3BODY3LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD2BODY4LEGS11 absorbed
Santos
Attacking
5HEAD2BODY4LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD3BODY3LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Day targets the head (33% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 33% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (45% of attacks) — Day absorbs 45% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Day
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0

Day · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.5L4.8L1.5L5.5L2018-112020-072020-112021-02
WinLossTrend

Santos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5L5.5L5.0W4.0L2018-112019-062020-112021-08
WinLossTrend

Day · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Timur ValievRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
L · Sub · R1
Anderson Dos SantosRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark · 2020-11
L · KO · R3
Davey GrantRating 4.8
KO/TKO
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
L · Dec · R3
Pingyuan LiuRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2 · 2018-11

Santos · Last 4

L · KO · R3
Miles JohnsRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · 2021-08
W · Sub · R1
Martin DayRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark · 2020-11
L · Dec · R3
Andre EwellRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-06
L · Dec · R3
Nad NarimaniRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11

News & Media

Martin Day · Anderson Dos Santos
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