UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
Las Vegas, USA
13 Apr 2024
Middleweight
VS
60%
Nickal
40%
Brundage
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:38
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Nickal
Nickal holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Brundage has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Brundage throws more volume but Nickal connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Brundage has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Nickal
Brundage
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
76"+
Reach
72"
30+
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Nickal
Brundage
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
68.4
45.2
62.0
Performance Avg
49.0
48
Quality of Victory
53
89
Momentum Score
26
Nickal
Brundage
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.5
56%
Strike Accuracy
53%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
2
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch1
1Ground0
Nickal
Brundage
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.7
/ 10
1.3
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.9
4.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nickal
Brundage
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
24
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/9 fights
Chin rating based on
16/21 fights
Nickal
Brundage
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
26
Upcoming
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Nickal
Brundage
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
83%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nickal
Brundage
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.5
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.3
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.9
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
8.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.1
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
NickalBrundage
Strike Zones
Nickal
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedBrundage
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nickal targets the body (67% of attacks) — Brundage absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Brundage targets the head (50% of attacks) — Nickal absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nickal
RND
Brundage
0/0R00/0
Nickal · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Brundage · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Nickal · Last 5
Upcoming
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Brundage · Last 5
W · KO · R2
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