METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2
Las Vegas, USA
7 Jul 2012
Lightweight
VS
54%
Guillard
46%
Camoes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Melvin GuillardwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Fabricio Camoes · UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Guillard
→
Actual result
Guillard wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Guillard at 54% vs Camoes at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Guillard has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Guillard's chin rating of 2 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Camoes has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GuillardCamoes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Guillard
Camoes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
71"
43+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Guillard
Camoes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
15.2
49.7
Performance Avg
40.4
45
Quality of Victory
54
73
Momentum Score
20
Guillard
Camoes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
0.7
41%
Strike Accuracy
31%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
7 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
1
2
Body
0
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
11Distance6
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Guillard
Camoes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Guillard
Camoes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
2
62
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
6
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/50 fights
Chin rating based on
6/23 fights
Guillard
Camoes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
73
20
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
Guillard
Camoes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
100%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Guillard
Camoes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
GuillardCamoes
Strike Zones
Guillard
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedCamoes
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Guillard targets the head (77% of attacks) — Camoes absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Camoes targets the legs (83% of attacks) — Guillard absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Guillard
RND
Camoes
0/0R00/0
Guillard · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Camoes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.3WinLossTrend
Guillard · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonRating 5.6Decision
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Upcoming
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W · KO · R2
Mac DanzigRating 5.2KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Jamie VarnerRating 5.5Decision
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
L · KO · R1
Donald CerroneRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II · 2012-08
Camoes · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 1.5Submission
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
L · Sub · R1
Jim MillerRating 1.9Submission
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · 2013-12
L · Dec · R3
Melvin GuillardRating 5.5Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
W · Sub · R1
Tommy HaydenRating 5Submission
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
L · Sub · R2
Kurt PellegrinoRating 2.8Submission
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