UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2
Las Vegas, USA
7 Jul 2012
Lightweight
VS
54%
Guillard
46%
Camoes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MG
Melvin Guillard
"The Young Assassin"
32 – 18
5'9"71" reachOrthodox43 yrsStriker
CFR 18
FC
Fabricio Camoes
"Morango"
14 – 9
Submission Hunter3-fight slide47 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'10"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Guillard

This is a genuine toss-up — Guillard at 54% vs Camoes at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Guillard has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Guillard's chin rating of 2 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Camoes has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Guillard
Camoes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
71"
43+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Guillard
Camoes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
15.2
49.7
Performance Avg
40.4
45
Quality of Victory
54
73
Momentum Score
20
Guillard
Camoes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
0.7
41%
Strike Accuracy
31%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
7 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
1
2
Body
0
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
11Distance6
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Guillard
Camoes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Guillard
Camoes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
2
62
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
6
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/50 fights
Chin rating based on
6/23 fights
Guillard
Camoes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
73
20
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
Guillard
Camoes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
100%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Guillard
Camoes
Striking7.0 / 0.4Volume3.8 / 0.4Grappling0.8 / 8.0Wrestling0.6 / 5.6Submission0.0 / 10.0Pressure5.8 / 7.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
Guillard
Strike Zones
Camoes
Guillard
Attacking
10HEAD2BODY1LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY5LEGS6 absorbed
Camoes
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY5LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD2BODY1LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Guillard targets the head (77% of attacks) — Camoes absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Camoes targets the legs (83% of attacks) — Guillard absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Guillard
RND
Camoes
0/0R00/0

Guillard · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0104.2W1.5L5.0W5.2W1.5L1.5L5.0W4.5W2.8L4.5W5.0W5.0W5.0W5.0W1.5L1.9L4.5W1.5L5.5L5.2W5.6L2005-112008-072011-012012-122014-03
WinLossTrend

Camoes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.3
0102.8L5.0W5.5L1.9L1.5L2010-032012-012012-072013-122014-10
WinLossTrend

Guillard · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs Manuwa · 2014-03
Upcoming
Ross Pearson
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10
W · KO · R2
Mac DanzigRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Jamie VarnerRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
L · KO · R1
Donald CerroneRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II · 2012-08

Camoes · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
L · Sub · R1
Jim MillerRating 1.9
Submission
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · 2013-12
L · Dec · R3
Melvin GuillardRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
W · Sub · R1
Tommy HaydenRating 5
Submission
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
L · Sub · R2
Kurt PellegrinoRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy · 2010-03

News & Media

Melvin Guillard · Fabricio Camoes
← Back to fights