METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez
Belgrade, Serbia
1 Aug 2026
Light Heavyweight
VS
38%
Blachowicz
62%
Stirling
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:56
★ Official Result
Navajo StirlingwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:56
def. Jan Blachowicz · UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Stirling
→
Actual result
Stirling wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Stirling holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Blachowicz has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Blachowicz's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BlachowiczStirling
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Blachowicz
Stirling
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'4"
78"
Reach
+79"
43
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Blachowicz
Stirling
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.0
71.1
51.8
Performance Avg
64.5
48
Quality of Victory
41
20
Momentum Score
100
Blachowicz
Stirling
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.3
/ 10
7.0
/ 10
5.8
Style: Pressure
6.5
4.5
Style: Volume
6.0
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
22
2
Body
3
0
Leg
10
RangeRange
3Distance15
0Clinch0
0Ground20
Blachowicz
Stirling
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Blachowicz
Stirling
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
100
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/40 fights
Chin rating based on
6/9 fights
Blachowicz
Stirling
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
6-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Blachowicz
Stirling
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
50%
5
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Blachowicz
Stirling
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.0
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
BlachowiczStirling
Strike Zones
Blachowicz
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
35 absorbedStirling
Attacking
35 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Blachowicz targets the body (67% of attacks) — Stirling absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Stirling targets the head (63% of attacks) — Blachowicz absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Blachowicz
RND
Stirling
0/0R00/0
Blachowicz · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Navajo StirlingKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
Upcoming
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Stirling · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Jan BlachowiczKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
W · KO · R2
Ion CutelabaKO/TKO
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Bruno LopesKO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
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