UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II
Denver, USA
11 Aug 2012
Featherweight
VS
87%
Bermudez
13%
Hayden
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:43
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Bermudez
Bermudez is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Bermudez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 33 points.
Striking split: Hayden throws more volume but Bermudez connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Bermudez's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Bermudez
Hayden
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'9"
66"
Reach
39+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Bermudez
Hayden
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.4
2.1
43.2
Performance Avg
0.0
33
Quality of Victory
0
50
Momentum Score
0
Bermudez
Hayden
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
2.6
46%
Strike Accuracy
27%
2.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
6
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance5
1Clinch0
5Ground1
Bermudez
Hayden
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bermudez
Hayden
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
76
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/26 fights
Chin rating based on
2/14 fights
Bermudez
Hayden
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Bermudez
Hayden
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bermudez
Hayden
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
BermudezHayden
Strike Zones
Bermudez
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedHayden
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bermudez targets the head (100% of attacks) — Hayden absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Hayden targets the head (100% of attacks) — Bermudez absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bermudez
RND
Hayden
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Bermudez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Hayden · QOF Timeline
Avg: 1.5WinLossTrend
Bermudez · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Te EdwardsRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
L · Dec · R3
Ricky GlennRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01
L · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
L · KO · R1
Chan Sung JungRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · 2017-02
Hayden · Last 2
L · Sub · R1
Dennis BermudezRating 1.5Submission
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II · 2012-08
L · Sub · R1
Fabricio CamoesRating 1.5Submission
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01