UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2
Las Vegas, USA
21 Nov 2009
Welterweight
VS
45%
Saunders
55%
Davis
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:24
MD
CFR 19
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Davis
This is a genuine toss-up — Saunders at 45% vs Davis at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Saunders has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Saunders's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Davis has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Saunders
Davis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'10"
77"+
Reach
70"
43+
Age
52
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Saunders
Davis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.6
18.7
46.4
Performance Avg
52.8
46
Quality of Victory
48
50
Momentum Score
56
Saunders
Davis
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.4
55%
Strike Accuracy
42%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.5
3 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
3
12
Body
2
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
4Distance3
17Clinch5
1Ground0
Saunders
Davis
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.5
/ 10
4.1
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.9
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
4.4
3
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Saunders
Davis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
38
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
7
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.9 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/35 fights
Chin rating based on
15/33 fights
Saunders
Davis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
56
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Saunders
Davis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
78%
3
KO / TKO Wins
3
3
Submission Wins
4
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Saunders
Davis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.1
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.4
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.2
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
SaundersDavis
Strike Zones
Saunders
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedDavis
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Saunders targets the body (55% of attacks) — Davis absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Davis targets the head (38% of attacks) — Saunders absorbs 38% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Saunders
RND
Davis
0/0R00/0
Saunders · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Davis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Saunders · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Matt BrownRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
L · KO · R2
Takashi SatoRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
L · KO · R1
Lyman GoodRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
L · Sub · R2
Sergio MoraesRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
W · KO · R1
Jake EllenbergerRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
Davis · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Jeremy StephensRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01
L · Sub · R3
Nate DiazRating 4Submission
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2 · 2010-08
W · KO · R2
Jonathan GouletRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · KO · R1
Ben SaundersRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
L · Dec · R3
Dan HardyRating 5.5Decision
UFC 99: The Comeback · 2009-06